Parlays

The Purdue Boilermakers hit the road looking to finish the season strong. Since a 50-49 OT loss at Illinois, it hasn’t gone for great for Purdue lately, scoring 30 total points with two shutout losses to Oregon and Ohio State. It suffered a 49-10 loss against Penn State at Ross-Ade Stadium as a 30-point underdog, and Purdue has failed to cash in four in a row, and eight of the past nine games. Purdue’s offense has been abysmal, going for just 318.6 total yards, 181.1 passing yards, 137.5 rushing yards and 17.2 points per game. The latter ranks 129th in the nation. Defensively, the Boilermakers are also awful, as you’d expect from a 1-9 team. Purdue has allowed 455.7 total yards, 252.4 passing yards, 203.3 rushing yards and 38.9 points per game.

For Michigan State, it has scored 17 or fewer points in each of the past three games, all non-covers as an underdog. The defense has allowed 42.5 PPG in the past two games to Illinois and Indiana, too. As a favorite this season, Michigan State is 0-2 ATS, too. The offense has scored 19 or fewer points in six of the past seven games, which is a problem considering it needs to win by two or more touchdowns to cover. If it does one thing well, it’s pass the football, as freshman QB Aidan Chiles has led the team to 230.8 yards per game through the air. And defensively, Michigan State ranks 45th or higher in total yards (328.1), passing yards (198.4) and rushing yards (129.7) per game. It’s risky, but back Sparty to cover, keeping hope alive for bowl eligibility.

Michigan State -13.5 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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We head to the Mountain West on Friday night for a UNLV Running Rebels vs San Jose State Spartans prediction. Both teams are bowl eligible already, and UNLV is still in the hunt for the conference title game. They will need some help, but all in all, this team has rallied nicely after the early-season quarterback NIL fiasco. My expectation for this game is that we will see both teams trading scores all night long, and the expected point total north of 60 is quite realistic. This one should be an absolute shootout, and I expect it to stay close. I think you could play the game total over, but as long as this spread is above a touchdown, my UNLV vs San Jose State pick is the Spartans +7.5.

What we have here is a perfect setup for the offenses. Both teams’ offensive specialties coincide with the weaknesses of the opposing defenses. UNLV is a run heavy scheme in their go-go offense, and San Jose State is awful against the run. The Spartans, on the other hand, prefer to throw the ball as much as possible, and UNLV ranks outside the top 100 in passing defense. Both teams should be able to stay in their preferred mode of attack, and both defenses will struggle to defend it. San Jose State got their turn at being run over by Ashton Jeanty last week (32 carries, 159 yards, 3 touchdowns), but they were in that game until the very end, and they forced Boise to throw it a fair amount too. I think the Spartans might be a bit sturdier than the casual fan would expect, and I like their chances of keeping this game a 1-possession game. This one has the potential to be totally wild though.

UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction: San Jose State +7.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Xavier has been perfect at home so far this season, and they’ll be looking to make it five wins in a row as they welcome the Siena Saints on Wednesday night.  Xavier has been terrific in their first four games of the season, averaging 85.3 points per game, and only allowing their opponents to score 66.5.  As for the Saints, they are averaging 74 points per game, while giving up 73.8 points per game in their first four games of the season.  As both teams have had a decent start to the season, only one team will emerge victorious tonight, which brings us into our Siena vs Xavier prediction. 

The Big East is loaded with talent, and I think Xavier could end up at the top of the standings by the end of the season.  Xavier has players like Ryan Conwell who is averaging 18.8 points per game, Zach Freemantle averaging 17.0 points per game, and Dayvion McKnight with 13.5 points per game. The Saints also have plenty of players who can score, too.  Justice Shoats is averaging 19.8 points per game, Major Freeman with 14.5, and Brenda Coyle with 13.5.  Shoats and this Saints team will pressure Xavier, aiming to disrupt their ability to move the ball and limit the wide-open shots.  At the end of the day, Xavier is more talented on paper compared to the Saints, plus the Musketeers defense will be able to disrupt Siena’s flow and get them uncomfortable at times, forcing turnovers that Xavier will capitalize on. But at the end of the day, I think Siena will be able to get a few turnovers themselves and keep this game closer than most would think, making them my best bet of the day.  

Siena vs Xavier prediction: Siena +26 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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As Mount St. Mary’s makes the short trip to Georgetown, we are here with a Mountaineers vs Hoyas prediction for Wednesday. Both programs are off to a good start this season despite modest preseason expectations. Georgetown is expected to be improved, but still in the bottom half of the Big East standings. They are 2-1, with the loss coming to Notre Dame. The Mountaineers are 3-1, taking a 30-point loss to Maryland, but also gathering a win over a respectable Bucknell team. I’m not sure either of these teams has a consistent identity yet, so this game has a wide range of outcomes. But my Mount St. Mary’s vs Georgetown prediction is Georgetown -13.

I think 13 points is a sizeable number of points for a Georgetown team that is not really great, so there is some risk here. I do not doubt that Ed Cooley has things heading in a good direction, but this is still a team with a lot of flaws. One flaw so far is that they have yet to shoot well from outside the arc in any of their first 3 games. That happens sometimes, but when it happens in each of the first 3 games, it is starting to look like a trend. It is hard to beat an opponent badly without an effective 3-ball. As for the Mount, this is a team picked to finish in the middle of the pack in the Metro Athletic. They are operating under a new head coach, and they have very few returning players. They got rocked by a Maryland team expected to finish near the bottom of the B1G, and that has me thinking that the major conference teams are just going to have the Mountaineers outmatched. Also, Georgetown has a 12-point win already over fellow-MAAC team Fairfield, a team expected to be better than Mount St. Mary’s. Let’s roll with the home team from the major conference who should also have a talent advantage.

Mount St. Mary’s vs Georgetown prediction: Georgetown -13 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Crimson Tide and Fighting Illini square off in a showdown between Alabama’s high powered offense and Illinois’ stifling defense on Wednesday. For both squads, this game is an early test that will reveal much about their potential this season. We have a pretty good understanding of who Illinois will be, however, this is more for CBB to see how Alabama plays in a comeback spot.

Alabama looks to bounce back after an 87-78 loss to Purdue in West Lafayette, their first ranked test of the season. With five days to regroup, the Tide will benefit from the home crowd in Birmingham. However, questions linger for Nate Oats’ squad. Similar to other SEC programs, concerns remain about their defense, as they struggled in the paint and rely heavily on offense. Mark Sears, a preseason National Player of the Year candidate, has yet to hit his stride, shooting 1-of-6 from deep against Purdue. Despite these concerns, Alabama’s potent offense should prevail against Illinois in tonight’s matchup.

Illinois, on the other hand, faces its first ranked opponent of the season. While the Illini are averaging 89.3 points per game, the competition has been soft, as we can gather from early November college basketball, leaving uncertainty about how they’ll fare against a powerhouse. Led by Tomislav Ivisic and Arizona transfer Kylan Boswell, Illinois boasts immense talent but is still gelling. Home court and urgency favor Alabama, who needs to clean up its 3-point shooting and interior defense. I don’t see them coming out soft against #25 Illinois. Expect the Tide to bounce back and cover the 8-point spread in a statement win.

Illinois vs Alabama Prediction: Alabama -8 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number

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The Bulls of Buffalo hit the road for the gray turf at Rynearson Stadium in Ypsilanti, Michigan for a battle against the Eagles of Eastern Michigan. The pressure is off for Buffalo, as it won 51-48 in overtime last Tuesday to secure a sixth victory and bowl eligibility. Buffalo is aiming for a season-high third consecutive victory despite the fact it is just 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past four outings. The Over has cashed in six in a row, as Buffalo is good for 30 or more points in four of the past five games, while allowing 30 or more points in four in a row, and 47 or more points in three of those outings. Win or lose for Buffalo, you know it’s likely going to be entertaining.

For Eastern Michigan, it needs to secure at least one victory either against Buffalo or in the series finale against rival Western Michigan, who sits at 5-6 and in need of a win to go to a bowl. So, this might be the easier game, if there is one. Eastern Michigan has allowed 25 or more points in six consecutive games, cashing the Over in four of those outings. The offense struggled at Ohio last week, losing 35-10, but prior to that, the Eagles had managed 21 or more points in six of the previous seven outings. While Eastern Michigan might have some nerves in such an important game, Buffalo will be playing free and easy. We should see a ton of points.

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan prediction: Over 50.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 51.5.

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Wednesday night MACtion in Week 13 of the college football season provides us with a massive matchup between the Ohio Bobcats and the Toledo Rockets. Both teams are 7-3 overall this season, but the Bobcats have a 1-game lead over the Rockets in the conference standings. The Bobcats are also in a 3-way tie atop the MAC standings with Bowling Green and Miami (OH) prior to Miami’s matchup with Northern Illinois on Tuesday night. Ohio comes into this matchup in the midst of a 3-game winning streak, with each of those wins by at least 25 points. Meanwhile, Toledo has won 2 in a row and 3 of its last 4. 

This has the makings of a low-scoring contest. Ohio and Toledo are 2 of the top 5 defenses in the MAC, as the Bobcats yield just 15.2 points per conference game while the Rockets give up 22.5. In fact, the Bobcats and the Rockets are both top 35 nationally in scoring defense on the season as whole, in addition to boasting top 45 marks in defensive PPA outside of garbage time since Week 7. It’s not just the defensive metrics that lead me to an Under in this game, though. The current weather forecast in Toledo calls for some nasty weather on Wednesday night, which is typical of these late-season MAC matchups. Rain is forecasted for most of the day, but more importantly, the wind is expected to be between 20 and 30 mph the whole night. I already liked the Under given the magnitude of this matchup in the MAC race and the efficiency of these defenses, but the projected chaotic weather conditions make it even more enticing. 

Ohio vs Toledo prediction: Under 44.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to 43.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers saw their 15-game winning streak come to an end last night against the Boston Celtics despite 35 points from Donovan Mitchell. Cleveland was hurt by the lack of contribution from starting guard Darius Garland. Garland was limited to 8 points on 3 of 21 shooting from the field. This was a rare poor performance for Garland, who has started the 2024-25 NBA season averaging 21.4 points per game and 7 assists per game. It goes without saying the Cavaliers were not going to go 82-0, so the best thing they can do is get right back on track Wednesday night against the injured New Orleans Pelicans.

The key pieces the Pelicans are likely going to be missing this game will be CJ McCollum, Zion Williamson, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Jordan Hawkins, and Jose Alvarado. Their talent pool has been boiled down to Brandon Ingram and a group of role players that are being asked to carry a lot of the load as the Pelicans try to get healthy. The Pelicans’ record has suffered due to the injuries, going 2-10 in their last 12 games.  This team simply does not have enough shot makers on offense right now to keep games competitive. That is not going to fair well against Cleveland, who currently leads the NBA in scoring with 123.7 points per game. The Cavaliers also lead the NBA in field goal percentage at 52.4 percent. Coming off a loss, I have Cleveland coming out motivated in this home game as they try to get back on track. Cleveland’s offense will prove to be too much against a New Orleans team that lacks shooting.

Cavaliers -13.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Playing the fastest pace in the NBA has kept the Bulls somewhat competitive in certain games, but in others they get absolutely destroyed because of their lack of presence on the defensive end. After back-to-back losses by 26 and 18 points, they’ve bounced back with a 10 point win over the Pistons. On Wednesday they have a game against a familiar foe – they’ve beaten the Bucks 133-122 in the opening game of the season for both teams. It’s hard to really tell which Bulls team will show up here, but one thing is for certain they will play fast. Their road games have produced 6 overs and just 3 unders this season, in those games they have the 19th worst defensive rating and are 6th best on offense.

Milwaukee is finally showing sings of improvement, but it remains to be seen whether or not that is due to a softer schedule or the team actually playing better. They’ve won 3 of 4 games, but the teams they beat were Houston, Detroit and Toronto. Playing at home should be a confidence booster here, the Bucks are 4-3 at Fiserv Forum. But, for a team that’s only 5-9 on the season, the spread does seem a bit too big here. Milwaukee is still without Khris Middleton and until he comes back they won’t be beating many teams by 9+ points. Against the Bulls they’ve covered only once in 5 meetings and just one time in the last 5 at Fiserv Forum.

Normally when you have two teams struggling on defense play each other, the outcome will be close as neither of them can get a stop when needed. This should be the case here and after seeing the Bulls win the first meeting by 11 points, I think they have enough to keep this a close game. Back the road team and the spread.

Bulls vs Bucks prediction: Bulls +8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Golden State Warriors have seen 3 of their last 5 games come in over the combined 240-point mark. Tonight’s encounter at home against the Atlanta Hawks should have a great chance of following suit. The visitors have really had issues stopping opponents from scoring, ranking 22nd in defensive rating this season. Trae Young continues to be a liability there that Stephen Curry and Buddy Hield should be set to exploit. The Warriors are after all 5th in the league in offensive rating. With both teams in the top 5 in the NBA in terms of pace, there should be no shortage of possessions for both.

Part of the issue for the Hawks defensively is the fact that they struggle taking care of the ball. They are currently 27th in opponent points off turnovers. The hosts have been terrific at getting out and running, being 5th in fast break points per game. They should be primed to turn the Hawks turnovers into scoring opportunities in transition. No team allows more 3-pointers per game than tonight’s visitors either. That is a dangerous situation for them, especially going up against one of the best shooting backcourts the NBA has ever seen with Curry and Hield taking to the floor. Back the over as a result.

Over 239 available at time of publishing. Playable to over 240.

We start off our NBA parlay picks in Milwaukee where the Bulls and Bucks play each other for already the 2nd time this season. The first meeting was played very early in the season and it was the Bulls that came out on top, 133-122. Tonight’s rematch is also being played at Fiserv Forum and I expect a similar outcome, at least in the scoring department. Chicago’s defense has been atrocious lately, as they’ve allowed 140+ points in 2 of their last 3 games and at least 119 in 4 of their last 5. Playing at the fastest pace while also not being all that good on defense will do that to you, so we could be in for another high-scoring game here.

Milwaukee has the ability to put up big numbers on offense, as we just saw them score 127 points against the Detroit Pistons a couple of nights ago. Damian Lillard is back and healthy, and while he is a liability on defense he makes up for it on the offensive end. Neither team has impressed defensively and with the Bulls playing at the fastest pace in the NBA this season, I think we’ll see another game in the 240s here.

The Pacers are one of the more unpredictable teams in the NBA. On any given night they can beat any opponent, but they can also lose to pretty much all 29 other teams. The most recent proof of that is their 119-110 win over Miami, which was followed by a 130-119 loss to Toronto. With that type of inconsistency they head into Houston for a date with the Rockets, who just had a 5-game win streak ended in a nailbiter against the Bucks.

So, why exactly back the Pacers here? Well, Indiana has owned this matchup for quite some time now, sweeping the last 4 regular-season series. Indy is currently on a 9-game win streak against Houston, which also includes the last 5 meetings at the Toyota Center where their average margin of victory is 5.8 points. Tyrese Haliburton is a matchup nightmare for the Rockets’ backcourt here, so look for him to dominate and Indiana to get a much-needed road win at big odds for our NBA parlay.

There’s a lot of positive energy and momentum around the New York Knicks at this time, as they head into Phoenix on a 3-game win streak. They’re playing a Suns team that’s severely handicapped by injuries with Kevin Durant, Bradley Beal and possibly even Jusuf Nurkic out of the lineup. New York’s offense has been on a roll lately, scoring 120+ points in 3 of their last 4 games, and the Suns might have issues keeping up with all the scoring as KD and Beal account for almost 50 points per game. Just 1 of the last 4 meetings between the Suns and Knicks was a close game, as the Knicks dominated 139-122 the last time the 2 teams met. With the trio of Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby and Jalen Brunson all producing at a high level, I really like their chances of covering here. Although they are 5-2 in home games, Phoenix has struggled to cover the spread at the Footprint Center, going just 1-6.

The NHL’s Wednesday slate features a matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes, and the Philadelphia Flyers. The Hurricanes look to extend their winning streak to 3 games, while the Flyers look to bounce back after losing to the Avalanche last time out. The Hurricanes epitomize the saying “defense wins championships” as they rank top 5 in the NHL in goals allowed, shots on goal allowed, and penalty kill percentage (all per game), and currently have the 4th most points in the NHL. The Hurricanes only allow 2.75 goals against per away game, which is right around where they should be as their expected goals against per away game is only 2.89, meaning there is no expected regression. The Hurricanes penalty kill is 8/9 in their last 4 games as well.

The Flyers have had a rocky start to their season, struggling on the defensive side of the ice, allowing 3.47 goals per game. One bright spot to focus on however is that their penalty kill has a 86.4% success rate, good for 4th in the NHL. The Flyers give up 3.08 goals per home game, however their expected number of goals allowed per away game is actually only 2.56. Their penalty kill holds up at home as well, with expected goals allowed being in the top third of the league. Usually whenever teams are well-coached, there are few mistakes, and a disciplined approach to the game. I believe that both the Hurricanes and the Flyers are well-coached, so I anticipate few turnovers, few penalties, and good penalty killing. I like the under in this one.

Hurricanes vs Flyers prediction: Under 6.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs and Vegas Golden Knights meet for a highly anticipated matchup on this Wednesday night in the NHL. While these two are in different conferences and meet twice a year, each matchup brings us must-watch action, as they are both powerhouse and star-studded teams, and have been for years. They have identical records, earning 22 wins in 37 combined games, and will make this a great game. To get you ready for the action, we will be providing our expert Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs predictions.

My pick for this game is the Maple Leafs, for a few different reasons. To start, they are the home team, and have been all but one time since November 3rd. As far as recent play goes, this is in Toronto’s favor as well, as they have posted a 5-1-1 record in their last 7 games, compared to Vegas who is 2-3-0 in their last 5 games. Even without Auston Matthews, these Maple Leafs have proven he is not the entire team, as star players like Mitch Marner and John Tavares as well as depth players such as Bobby McMann have all stepped up in their own way. Vegas is facing injuries as well, with Mark Stone, Victor Oloffson, and Ben Hutton all injured. A big factor in this game could be Vegas’ inability to keep the puck out of their net. They are just outside the bottom 10, giving up 3.06 goals per game. The Maple Leafs are a team you need to be tight against. This is a great matchup that should be a tight game, but when all is said and done, I’ll take the Maple Leafs on the money line.

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs ML available at (-115) at time of writing. Playable to (-120).

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The Nashville Predators and Seattle Kraken return to the ice for a Western Conference clash. These two teams met just once this season on October 15th, when the Kraken exploded for a 7-3 win as the road team . This was Nashville’s fourth-straight loss in what would be a 0-6-0 start to the season, but this is a different team now as they are 6-4-3 since then. That blowout loss will not be forgotten by Nashville, so they will be looking to return the favor as the road team themselves in this on. We are here to give our Predators vs. Kraken predictions to help see if the Predators can continue to claw their way from a poor spot in the standings, or if the Kraken can earn their second win against them this season.

As mentioned, Nashville is in a completely different mindset than they were in the last meeting over a month ago. They are finally showing the results they expected at the beginning of the season, but based on their roster, they cold go even higher. A 0-1-2 stretch was just deleted after Nashville earned an impressive 5-3 victory against the Vancouver Canucks, which I believe could be the kick-starter to a strong run of wins and points. I believe Nashville has a stronger roster than Seattle, more specifically much-stronger goaltending and many more star players. They are also healthier, with nobody of substance out with injury, compared to the Kraken missing stud defenseman Vince Dunn. I think this will be a strong competitive matchup, but for our overall Predators vs. Kraken prediction, we are siding with Nashville on the money line.

 Predators vs. Kraken prediction: Nashville Predators ML (-130) available at time of publishing. Playable up to (-150).

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