Parlays

To tip-off the Parlay we have the Memphis Grizzlies covering the spread at home against the lowly Charlotte Hornets. Ja Morant and co. are one of the most reliable bets in home games this season at 16-5 SU and 14-7 ATS. They’ll look to run over the Hornets in this game, relying on their usual up-tempo style which the Hornets won’t be able to match. Memphis leads the league in points per game (123.1), while also being the 5th most efficient team from the field.

The three-ball is also falling at a solid clip of 37% which ranks the Grizzlies 9th overall in the NBA. Charlotte has had a solid run over the past 3 games, but their wins were against the shorthanded Mavericks, tanking Bulls and Jazz so it’s hard to take them seriously here even if they’re on a 3-game win streak. Memphis has gone 7-3 ATS/SU in the last 10 meetings and is 4-1 ATS/SU in the last 5 games overall. This game should be a walk in the park for the Grizz, let’s back them to cover with confidence.

Things are finally starting to turn around for the New Orleans Pelicans who have now won 4 games in a row. Zion Williamson is back and healthy, putting up 20+ points in 3 of his last 4 games. We just saw him dominate the Jazz with 24 points and 14 rebounds. If anyone can match Giannis with his physicality it’s Zion. This match-up has been a favorable one for the Pelicans when playing at home – the last 16 of 20 meetings at the Smoothie King Center have gone the Pels way. This also includes last season’s meeting which the Pelicans won 107-100 back in March.

Milwaukee is on a solid run themselves, but going into Wednesday’s game they have Khris Middleton and Giannis Antetokounmpo both on the injury report as game-time decisions. This team hasn’t been as reliable on the road as they would have liked – Milwaukee has suffered 10 losses in 19 away games this season. Teams from the Southwest Division in particular have had their way with the Bucks, Milwaukee is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 such games. The odds are against the Pelicans here, but after seeing them knock down 22 and 15 threes in their last 2 games I think they are capable of pulling off the upset here.

Stephen Curry and his team cannot catch a break right now, the injury bug has hit them hard and for Wednesday’s game they’ll continue to be without Brandin Podziemski, Kyle Anderson, Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga. This line-up managed just 85 points against the Celtics, in order to stay competitive against the Kings that number will need to go up by a lot. Golden State managed just 99 in the first meeting of the season, losing by 30 points in one of the first games for Doug Christie as Kings head coach.

Sacramento cannot be stopped right now, they’ve lost jus once in their last 10 games. The list of teams they’ve beaten during this stretch is quite impressive, the most notable teams are Memphis, Boston and Houston. Unless Curry goes nuclear here, I cannot see a scenario in which Golden State hangs on. Kings are currently on a streak of 6 home wins in a row, while also covering the spread in 6 of 8 overall. I’ll happily take them to win and cover the spread here.

The Detroit Red Wings wrap up a 4-game road trip against the Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center. The Wings have dropped 2 in a row and 3 of the past 4 games since a 7-game win streak from December 29 to January 12. Detroit has been outscored 9-2 in 2 losses against the Tampa Bay Lightning and Dallas Stars in the past 2 outings, and now it plays for the 3rd time in 4 days. It appears the honeymoon under head coach Todd McLellan is now over. The last time these teams met in the City of Brotherly Love, the Flyers came away with a 4-1 victory on December 12. The home team has won each of the first 2 meetings this season.

Philadelphia has picked up the pace with 4 victories in the past 5 games, including an impressive 3-1 win on Saturday in New Jersey. The Flyers have allowed 3 or fewer goals in each of the past 5 games and 7 of the previous 8 outings. In this series, the home team has won 7 consecutive meetings dating back to March 5, 2023. The last time the visitors won was January 21, 2023, when the Fly Guys came away with a 2-1 win in Detroit. All signs point to another victory for Philly.

Red Wings vs Flyers prediction: Flyers ML (-160) available at time of publishing. Playable to -170.

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The Carolina Hurricanes make the 2nd stop on a 3-game road trip. This is the 2nd game in a back-to-back situation, after winning a wild 4-3 game in overtime against the Chicago Blackhawks. That made for a successful return for Frederik Andersen, who had been out since late October. Now, Pyotr Kochetkov will get the starting nod with the Canes back on no rest. Carolina has 4 victories in 8 games on no rest this season, although it has won the past 3 such instances. Still, this might be the toughest turnaround yet, traveling from Chicago to Dallas, while having to find the dynamic Jake Oettinger.

The Stars looked impressive in a 4-1 victory against the visiting Red Wings on Sunday, covering the puck line as favorites behind Oettinger. He gave up a late goal in the 3rd period to spoil a shutout, but that’s about the only thing that went wrong. These teams met back in Raleigh on November 25, with the Canes coming away with a 6-4 victory behind Spencer Martin, who is now with Chicago of the AHL. The Stars have won 2 of the past 3 in the series, with Dallas winning 2 of the past 3 in the Metroplex, too. Dallas should get the win over a fatigued Carolina team here.

Hurricanes vs Stars prediction: Stars ML (-130) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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College basketball fans will be treated to an interesting SEC matchup on Tuesday night when the Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3) travel to Knoxville to play the Tennessee Volunteers (16-2) in a rematch of last year’s SEC Tournament quarterfinals. These teams come into this matchup on differing paths, as the Bulldogs beat in-state rival Ole Miss 84-81 in overtime on Saturday. Meanwhile, Tennessee lost by 1 to its in-state rival in Vanderbilt after trailing by as many as 16 points with about 11 minutes left in the game. The Vols are in a bit of a funk over the last few games. Once 14-0, they have lost 2 of their last 4 with a very close call against Texas mixed in there as well. 

This game screams Under to me, not only because of Tennessee’s defensive success and lack thereof on the offensive end, but because of the situational spot. Both of these teams come into this game following emotional rivalry games on the shortest turnaround they could have given how the SEC schedules its games (Tuesday, Wednesday, Saturday), and I expect that to have a bit of a hangover effect in this one. Despite dropping half of its 4 recent games, Tennessee is still an elite defensive group that doesn’t foul – especially at home. The Vols held Arkansas and Georgia under 60 points in their 2 conference home games thus far, and Rick Barnes has had plenty of success limiting Chris Jans’ offenses since Jans took the job in Starkville. In fact, 3 of the 4 Barnes vs Jans matchups have stayed under this number. 

Neither of these offenses are playing to their potential in league play. Mississippi State and Tennessee have experienced a drop in efficiency from non-conference to SEC competition, and that figures to continue in this matchup. The Vols are 13th in effective field-goal percentage and 16th (out of 16 teams) in the SEC in two-point percentage, all while playing at the slowest pace in the conference. The Bulldogs have been a bit more efficient and play with more pace than the Vols in league play, but this group struggles from beyond the arc and doesn’t get to the free-throw line for easy points very often. The Vols have a couple of different perimeter defenders in Zakai Zeigler and Jahmai Mashack that grade out as 2 of the 10 best in the conference, which will help counter the microwave scoring of Josh Hubbard. There will also be stud defenders in the post on both sides of the court in this one, as Mississippi State’s Cameron Matthews and Tennessee’s Felix Okpara are the 2 most impactful defenders in the conference according to Evan Miya. This one could be a slog; the Under looks the right side to be on.

Mississippi State vs Tennessee prediction: Under 140.5 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable to 139.5.

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Creighton looks to keep things rolling as they get ready to take on DePaul in what should be an exciting Big East showdown. Creighton has won 3 in a row with wins over Butler, Providence and UConn. Creighton has had its ups and downs this season, but it looks like they’ve found their rhythm once again and are looking to climb the Big East standings with a win tonight. As for DePaul, they’re hoping to get something going and win 2 in a row, but it’s not going to be easy. DePaul just picked up a win over Georgetown 73-68, but prior to that, they lost 5 in a row. This DePaul program is growing under their new head coach, and with that comes growing pains, but knowing how they’ve lost 5 out of 6 games, I just can’t trust them in tonight’s matchup.

The Blue Demons played well against Georgetown, shooting 50% from the field and 46.7% from beyond the arc. A big part reason why they won was the number of free throws they landed, shooting 22-28 (78.6%).  DePaul was fouled 17 times by Georgetown, but Creighton is a more disciplined team and only fouls 10.4 times per game, which should limit the number of free throws DePaul take in this game. The Blue Demons average 77.1 points per game but they struggle on defense, giving up 73.8 points per game. As for Creighton, they’re averaging 75.4 points per game, slightly behind DePaul, and they’re giving up 70.1 points per game, slightly better on defense. Creighton hasn’t been a team I’ve trusted much this season, but with a solid win over UConn in their last outing, I think the trio of Kalkbrenner, Ashworth and Isaacs help lead the Bluejays to victory over a mediocre DePaul team. DePaul has played opponents tough as of late, but I can’t stomach backing them in tonight’s matchup given the way Creighton has been playing.

Creighton vs DePaul prediction: Creighton -6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Cougars of BYU take the hop over the Rocky Mountains to Boulder to take on the Buffaloes at CU Events Center. BYU has rattled off 11 victories this season, but it is 0-4 in 4 true road games this season. In addition, the Cougars have covered just once in the past 5 games. It came close to ending a lot of that frustration last time out, falling 73-72 in overtime at Utah on Saturday as the Under (151) still hung on. The total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 games, while cashing in each of the past 2 road games. BYU has a solid defense, allowing just 67.0 ppg, while teams are hitting just 41.7% from the field.

For the Buffaloes, they’re on a 6-game skid since December 30 while going just 1-6 ATS in the past 7 outings. As such, we’ll avoid playing Colorado or BYU on the line. Instead, let’s focus on the total. The Under has a slight 5-4-1 edge in the past 10 games while going 4-3 in the past 7 at home. While Colorado’s defense is so-so, the offense isn’t very good at all. The Buffs go for just 73.8 ppg, and it hits a mediocre 46% from the field and 34% from behind the arc. The Buffaloes should struggle against BYU’s defense, so the Under looks a good spot here.

BYU vs Colorado prediction: Under 145 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 144.

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The Toronto Raptors welcome the Orlando Magic tonight in what should be a clash of teams that have been playing at a similar level of late. Both have won just 3 of their last 10 games and have ranked 27th and 28th in net offensive and defensive rating during that stretch, respectively. The visiting Magic have Paolo Banchero back, but he is the only available player who is averaging double-digits in points this season. It is worth noting that the Raptors are respectable at home too, with a 9-13 record. Their road record of just 1 win from 19 is what has them languishing far outside the playoff picture.

The Raptors have the personnel to deal with Banchero, with Scottie Barnes perfectly suited to match up against him physically. It could help really limit the Magic’s scoring capabilities, with the visitors already dead last in offensive rating over the last 10 games. With Goga Bitadze and Mo Wagner both out, Jakob Poeltl could have a great scoring night for the hosts too. He managed 25 points in their earlier meeting this season and should be able to dominate the paint here. Over the last 10 games, the Magic are also making just 29% of their three-point attempts. They have not surpassed the 100-point mark in 6 of their last 10 games as a result and if they fail to do so again tonight, they will find it hard to come away with a win.

Magic vs Raptors prediction: Raptors ML (+105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -105.

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Ordinarily, I would look to back the Nets at home as double-digit underdogs, especially considering Brooklyn is off 3 consecutive losses — 2 of them in blowout fashion — to close out a 6-game road trip and is in desperate need of a win to stop the bleeding. The same can’t be said of the Knicks, as New York enters this game on a back-to-back following a comeback victory over the Hawks on Monday, exacting a bit of revenge from a loss in the NBA Cup knockout stage earlier this season in the process. With that said, I want no part of backing this awful Nets team, especially since this is Brooklyn’s first game following a 10-day road trip where it went 1-5 and was blown out by current playoff teams in 3 of those 5 losses. My decision to fade Brooklyn has been made easier by the fact that Karl-Anthony Towns is back in the lineup for the Knicks, which immediately transforms the entire makeup of their offense. 

Towns looked rusty on offense in the Knicks’ win over the Hawks on Monday, but the encouraging sign was that he played 37 minutes, looked very engaged defensively and hit a massive three-pointer to help New York pull away in the 4th quarter. This time out, there should be plenty of opportunities for Towns and the Knicks offense to attack the Nets in the paint, and Brooklyn is 25th in rebounding, which offers plenty of opportunities for Josh Hart and New York (6th in rebound percentage) to collect second-chance points. Therefore, even though Towns might be limited in his minutes in the second game of a back-to-back, he should still have an impact with his offensive prowess. Even if the Knicks’ frontcourt doesn’t contribute much in this game, Jalen Brunson has a great matchup against a porous Nets perimeter defense, and he should be expected to carry the scoring load for New York. We can also expect a strong game from Mikal Bridges, who should have a favorable matchup on the wing and can be expected to get plenty of open looks off Brunson’s gravity. The Knicks’ offense is still a top-5 unit in the league and the defense is gradually improving (up to 14th in defensive rating), while the Nets are sitting at 25th in both offensive and defensive rating. Let’s back New York to cover this number in what could end up essentially being a home game for the Knicks at Barclays Center.

Knicks vs Nets prediction: Knicks -10.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 11.

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The good news for the Philadelphia 76ers is that Joel Embiid has recovered from his foot injury, but the bad news is that his knee has started swelling again and he will miss the game at Denver on Tuesday night. It’ll be the 6th year in a row that Embiid will not play at Ball Arena, so this is nothing new for Philadelphia. Right now this team is on a 6-game losing streak, with 3 of their last 4 losses being by double-digits. They’re once again 13.5-point underdogs, with 5 other players besides Joel Embiid on the injury report. Paul George and Andre Drummond are among those players and the rebounding department would suffer mightily without those 2.

Denver continues to slowly climb up the Western Conference leaderboard. They are now 4th and just 2 games behind the 2nd-seeded Rockets. A big reason for the ascent of this team has been the play of Russell Westbrook, who has thrived in the starters’ role alongside Nikola Jokic. Aaron Gordon has taken a step back and is coming off the bench for the time being, but the Nuggets are a veteran team that is willing to put its egos aside for the greater good. However, 4 of their last 5 games were on the road and fatigue might set in sooner rather than later, which is my only gripe with backing them to cover here.

Philadelphia really hasn’t got much to base their optimism on here, but one of those things is their 5-1 ATS record in the last 6 meetings. They have nothing to lose in this game, which could unlock Tyrese Maxey on offense. Coming back from Florida, the Nuggets could start this game a bit flat, so I’ll give Philly the benefit of the doubt and back them to keep this game somewhat close.

76ers vs Nuggets predictions: 76ers +13.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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