Best NBA player prop bets for today 4/24: Grayson Allen provides the deep threat

Milwaukee Bucks guard Grayson Allen
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Germantas Kneita

NBA

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Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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The NBA bring along 2 playoff games with its slate on Monday night. To start the night off the Milwaukee Bucks will be visiting the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the series. The Heat hold a surprising 2-1 lead, so the visitors should be desperate to win to avoid being on the brink of elimination. The Memphis Grizzlies are in the same situation with the nights late game, trailing the Los Angeles Lakers 2-1 so far. Both games will be live on TNT.

You can check out our NBA picks on the side and total for each of today’s games, but for now, let’s dive into my favorite NBA player prop bets for tonight.

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Grayson Allen over 2.5 made threes (+108)

Grayson Allen has continued his hot shooting for the Milwaukee Bucks. So for this series, he is making 52.6% of his 3-point attempts. That has allowed him to knock down on average of 3.3 per game. The Heat have had issues coping with the size on the Bucks inside, having to commit additional players down low. That leaves the Bucks shooters with space on the outside. During the playoffs, no team allows more 3-point attempts per game than the Heat. Do not expect to see a drop in the number of attempts from Allen. With the accuracy he is shooting the ball with, he should be well positioned to convert. He has played the Heat 6 times this season, hitting at least 3 shots from deep in 5 games. He looks great value to do the same once again here.

Check out our Bucks vs Heat SGP at +532 odds

Kyle Lowry over 14.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115)

Kyle Lowry finally played a bigger role for the Miami Heat in Game 3 of the series, delivering a strong performance. He finished with 19 combined points, rebounds and assists and a +27 when he was on the floor. The latter was the second highest mark on the team. Look for that to earn him more playing time tonight. In the regular season, Lowry averaged a combined PRA of 20.4 in 31.2 minutes of playing time. Returning to that amount of time spent on the floor should see him get back to those averages. The Bucks have the worst defensive rating in the playoffs this season and should not put up much resistance against the guard. The Heat have been missing a ball handler since Tyler Herro has gone down. Lowry has just shown he can step up to the plate.

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Jaren Jackson Jr. over 2.5 blocks (+150)

This season’s leader in blocks Jaren Jackson Jr. has recorded 3 blocks once this series, coming a block shy in another game. Considering he recorded more than 3 blocks in 2 of 3 games in the regular season against the Los Angeles Lakers, he should be more than capable form putting in a similar performance. On the season, he did average 3 blocks per game overall too. The hosts tonight have been one of the more inefficient 3-point shooting teams this post season. They are currently making just 33.3% of their attempts. Look for them to make a more conscious effort to get closer to the rim and into better scoring position. That is where the Grizzlies forward should be able to come in and impact shots. Look for him to put together an impressive defensive display as a result.

Don’t miss our Grizzlies vs Lakers Same Game Parlay at +569 odds

Ja Morant over 2.5 made threes (+195)

Ja Morant went off in Game 3 of the series. The Memphis Grizzlies superstar dropped a 45-point performance, including 6 of 10 makes from beyond the arc. The Lakers know that he is far more dangerous when attacking the paint. As a result, look for them to continue giving up the 3-point shot to him. Considering he is making 61.5% of his attempts from there in this series, even with a drop off in efficiency, he should be able to deliver here. Tonight’s hosts have been encouraging the Grizzlies to attack from the perimeter, ranking 11th this post season in opponent 3-point attempts per game. With Anthony Davis acting as a major deterrent in the paint too, Morant should see no shortage of 3-point opportunities. I expect him to knock down at least 3 in his current shooting form.

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