NBA Picks

The Cleveland Cavaliers will host the Miami Heat Wednesday night as the Cavaliers look to win their 12th straight game. This is the third time this season that the Cavaliers have been on a win streak 10 games or longer. Cleveland’s last win came in Chicago on Tuesday where they defeated the Bulls 139-117. Donovan Mitchell led the team in scoring with 28 points in 28 minutes. The Cavaliers are also one of the best teams in the NBA against the spread. They have an against the spread record of 40-20-1 and have covered in 7 of their last 11 wins. The Heat have begun falling down the Eastern Conference standings since trading away Jimmy Butler. Miami has lost 7 of their last 11 games. They are coming off a bright spot with a 106-90 win at home on Monday against the Wizards. Bam Adebayo was the Heat’s most valued player in the game with 19 points and 15 rebounds.

Tonight’s game will be the third and final time these teams meet this season. Miami has been one of the teams this season that has been able to beat Cleveland. The Heat defeated the Cavaliers 122-113 on December 8, 2024, but the Cavaliers got their revenge on January 29 winning 126-106. The Cavaliers will be heavy favorites tonight, something that they have become accustomed to. Cleveland has been 11 points or more favorites 18 times this season, and they have covered the total in 10 of those games. Miami’s strength on offense are their shooters. In the Heat’s last 10 games, they have averaged 109.2 points per game, a number that will need to improve if they want to compete with Cleveland’s high-powered offense. Cleveland has been one of the most consistent and dominate teams this season, and they have become a team that you can trust in a spot where they are heavy favorites.

Heat vs Cavaliers prediction: Cavaliers -10.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves offense has been on a roll of late, managing 115 or more points in 7 of their last 8 games. And while this will be their second game of a back-to-back set, those scenarios have not impacted their scoring ability this season. Their average of 112.3 points per game jumps to 116.5 when playing without a night’s rest. They will be taking on the Charlotte Hornets who will have the services of LaMelo Ball. The point guard should have a size advantage over his matchup here in Mike Conley and should be set to put the hosts offense on his back. After struggling earlier in February he got off to a better start in March, scoring at least 20 in both games. Look for Ball to build on that momentum here.

Over the last 10 games the Timberwolves have been in the top 10 in the league in pace. Against a Hornets team that is in the bottom 10 of the league in defensive rating during that stretch, they should have no shortage of opportunities to put up points. Over that stretch of games, the Hornets are 28th in opponent fast break points per game, which should encourage the visitors to push the tempo. During that time both sides are in the bottom half of the league in opponent 3-point percentage. If both have success knocking down those shots, the over should hit in this one.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction: Over 223.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Do we even need to play this game? Honestly, Dallas fans are probably ready to simulate to the end of the season at this point. It’s been a nightmare stretch for the franchise—possibly one of the worst month-long runs in NBA history. In just a few weeks, the Mavericks have traded Luka Doncic, lost Anthony Davis to injury, and now, to add even more misery, Kyrie Irving is out for the season with a torn ACL. Any slim hope of a playoff push once AD returns is effectively gone. 

For tonight’s game, Klay Thompson and Spencer Dinwiddie will try to carry the scoring load against a surging Bucks team. When these two teams met a few days ago, Milwaukee dominated in a 132-117 victory. Kyrie put up 31 points in that game, but without him, Dallas lacks a true go-to scorer. Expect the Mavs to hover around the 103-107 point range, but it’s hard to see them keeping pace. Meanwhile, the Bucks are rolling. They’ve covered in 4 of their last 5 games and are averaging 126.7 PPG in their last three outings. With an imposing home record of 20-9, Milwaukee should take control early and never look back. Simply put, this has blowout written all over it.

Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction: Bucks -10 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -12

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The Sacramento Kings and Denver Nuggets are set for a showdown at Ball Arena on Wednesday night, with Denver holding a 2-0 edge in the season series. Both teams boast high-powered offenses, with the Kings averaging 116.9 points per game and the Nuggets slightly ahead at 121.1 points per contest. Sacramento (32-28) sits at 8th in the Western Conference, trailing the final guaranteed playoff spot by just 1.5 games. Since Doug Christie took over as head coach following Mike Brown’s dismissal, the Kings have thrived, going 19-10 under his leadership. They’ve been on fire recently, winning 4 straight and 7 of their last 10. Zach LaVine has led the way with 22.5 points and 4 assists per game, while DeMar DeRozan has added 21.9 points and 3.9 assists. However, they’ll be without Domantas Sabonis, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury.

Meanwhile, Denver (39-22) holds the third-best record in the West and is chasing the Lakers for second place. The 2023 NBA champions have been a postseason fixture under Michael Malone, securing six straight playoff berths. Nikola Jokic continues to be dominant, averaging a triple-double with 28.9 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 10.4 assists. Jamal Murray (21.4 PPG) and Michael Porter Jr. (18.5 PPG) provide additional firepower. With both teams capable of lighting up the scoreboard, all signs point to a high-scoring affair. The Kings are averaging 120.8 PPG in their last four games, and Denver has consistently hit the over in similar spots. Expect a track meet in the Mile High City.

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction: Over 236 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 238.5

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Monday saw the Thunder win their 50th game of the regular season as they took down the Rockets 137-128 thanks to SGA’s 51 point explosion. His regular season MVP case keeps improving, especially with OKC’s lead atop of the West standings remaining at 10 games or so. The Thunder have won 4 in a row, they have a tricky road game in Memphis on Wednesday. I say tricky because they’ve covered the spread only twice in 9 visits to FedEx Forum, which makes you question can they win by 8 or more points to cover here. The last 7 meetings have all gone OKC’s way, with 5 of them finishing with a double-digit win.

With 3 straight losses, the Grizzlies are under a lot of pressure to get a result here. This poor run of form has seen them drop to 4th in standings and the Lakers now have a 1.5 game edge in the 2nd seed. All is not lost though, most importantly the Grizzlies finally have a healthy team 60 games into the regular season which isn’t something we’ve seen often over the past several years. Defense has been the biggest Achilles heel for this team – over their last 5 games opponents have put up 132, 130, 114, 148 and 129 points on them. At some point head coach Taylor Jenkins will have to make the necessary adjustments before it’s too late.

Although it might not sound like a popular bet for Memphis Grizzlies games, I am looking at the under here. The point total has been set at 250.5 points, neither of the two meetings earlier this season came close to that number. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 games head-to-head, one sub-par shooting quarter here and there’s little chance both teams score in the high 120s on Wednesday. I’ll give the under a shot in this one.

Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction: Under 250.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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