NBA Picks

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10:10 PM ET

Wed Apr 15

Prime Video

Warriors

Clippers

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Point Spread Pick

LA Clippers -4.5(-110)

Reasoning

Just 3 days after they met on the final day of the regular season, the Golden State Warriors and LA Clippers lock horns once again, with the stakes being a lot higher this time around. Although both teams rested key players, the meeting on Sunday somewhat gives us a rough idea what to expect in Wednesday’s rematch. Despite getting a productive game from Stephen Curry who had 24 points in 29 mins of play, the Warriors were down for most of that game and were held to just 28% shooting from three-point land. And that’s pretty much the Achilles heel of this team. Ever since Jimmy Butler went down with his injury back in January, they are pretty much a one man show on offense and teams know what to expect from them on a nightly basis.

Meanwhile, the Clippers have had one of the best turnarounds in a season ever, after opening the year 6-21 they now find themselves in the play-in tournament. Kawhi sat the final game on Sunday, which means he gets 5 days in between games to rest and heal up for this encounter. Although the Clippers capped off the year 8-7 SU over their last 15 games, the chemistry developed between Kawhi and Darius Garland was on a high level during that time. LA finally has a proper point guard who is no longer bothered by his big toe injury, I cannot wait to see how Garland does against Stephen Curry on both ends in Wednesday’s game.

There’s a reason why these Warriors finished the year 37-45. Injuries have decimated them for the most part, I just don’t think Steph had enough time to get back into rhythm following his return from injury towards the end of the regular season. Kawhi and co. are 31-19 SU in this calendar year, while the Warriors are 19-29 SU during this stretch. In head-to-head meetings LA is 9-1 SU/ATS in the last 10 games, plus they’ve covered in 5 straight at the Intuit Dome against this opponent. I’ll take LA here.

Warriors vs Clippers prediction: Clippers -4.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

BET -4.5 NOW WITH

Filip Tomic

3:30 PM ET

Sat Apr 18

Prime Video

Timberwolves

Nuggets

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Point Spread Pick

DEN Nuggets -5.5(-110)

Reasoning

For the 2nd season in a row the Timberwolves finish the year 49-33 and enter the postseason as the 6th seed in the loaded West. They’re looking to go back to the West Finals for a 3rd straight season, however as far as optimism goes heading into the postseason I’d argue it’s at its lowest since this impressive run they’ve been on. The main issues revolve around Anthony Edwards and his right knee injury, because of which he’s played in just 3 times since mid-March. On top of that one of their key role players Jaden McDaniels is also struggling with a left knee issue, these are major red flags if you’re a Timberwolves supporter.

The Nuggets have had their fair share of injury issues this year, but they look a lot better going into Game 1 with most of their big name players being healthy. Getting a 5 day break before the postseason begins will be massive for them, especially for Jamal Murray who has had to carry an additional load with Jokic and Gordon missing a decent chunk of the season. Expectations are high in the Nuggets camp going into this postseason. Some people were questioning whether not they want to face Minnesota in Round 1, I think a team led by a 3-time MVP doesn’t really care who comes their way. Aside from the Thunder I’d argue the Nuggets are the team to beat in the Western Conference playoffs, and yes I did not forget about the Spurs.

Setting the tone in Game 1 could be the key for the rest of the series. As we all know these two have a history of playing each other on the biggest stage, we all still remember that upset win in Game 7 for Minnesota the last time they matched-up in the postseason. Something tells me the Nuggets didn’t forget about that painful experience, so I think they’ll take the T’Wolves far more seriously this time around. They won 3 of 4 meetings during the regular season, two of those were decided by double-digits. I’ll take my chances with Jokic and co. in the series opener on Saturday.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction: Nuggets -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

BET -5.5 NOW WITH

Filip Tomic

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How Do You Pick Against the Spread In The NBA?

Betting against the spread means to bet on the favourite to win by a certain amount of points or the underdog to win or lose by fewer than a certain amount.

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