NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors will be trying to extend their winning streak to 4 games when they visit the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. With the away team catching points, that’s the way I’m going with this Warriors vs Lakers prediction. Golden State is coming off consecutive victories over New Orleans, San Antonio and Memphis. The Warriors are now 18-2 SU when Jimmy Butler plays since he was acquired from Miami. Butler has taken a lot of pressure off Stephen Curry, but that doesn’t mean there has been a decline in Curry’s numbers. The Davidson product went wild to the tune of 52 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists and 5 steals during Tuesday’s 134-125 victory over Memphis.

Los Angeles, on the other hand, is not playing well at all. It is 3-4 in its last 7 and 6-8 in its last 14. LeBron James (groin) is good to go for Thursday’s contest, but he has not looked entirely 100 percent of late. James has been limited to 17 points or fewer in 3 of the past 4 outings. Obviously getting Luka Doncic was massive, but some of the willingness to part with Anthony Davis involved the expected acquisition of big man Mark Williams from Charlotte. When that fell through the cracks after being agreed upon, the Lakers were left with a roster that isn’t built the right way. Having 2 superstars is great, but in this day in age it’s not–or at least not necessarily–the way to win. With the Warriors firing on all cylinders, I like their chances on Thursday. The value is on Golden State as an underdog.

Warriors vs Lakers prediction: Golden State +2 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +1.5.

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The Milwaukee Bucks seem to be finding their grove without Damian Lillard of late, as was evident by their 10-point win over the Phoenix Suns in their last outing. They will be up against another shorthanded side today as they take on the Philadelphia 76ers. Tonight’s hosts have lost each of their last 10 games and seem to be fully invested into tanking, as seen by the fact they have been resting Quinten Grimes in some of their recent games. They have lost each of their last 3 games by at least a 14-point margin. The 76ers are 26th in the NBA in net offensive and defensive rating and it would not be a surprise to see them suffer a similar defeat here.

Over the last 10 games the 76ers are 26th in the league in opponent points in the paint. Guerschon Yabusele is listed as questionable to play after missing the last 2 games. It could leave rookie Adem Bona outmatched on the interior against the size of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez. Over the last 10 games the Bucks have also been 8th in opponent 3-point percentage. With the help the 76ers will have to send down low, look for the visitors to continue getting open looks on the outside. They have been efficient enough to take full advantage here. Back the Bucks to cover on the back of a strong offensive performance.

Bucks vs 76ers prediction: Milwaukee -12 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -13.

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The Miami Heat have put together a good-sized winning streak near the end of the season. They will try to continue their streak of 6 straight wins tonight when they welcome the struggling Memphis Grizzlies. The Heat’s last win was a 124-103 victory on the road against the Boston Celtics. They shot 52% from the field on Wednesday and were led by Tyler Herro, who put up 25 points in the victory. The recent Heat winning streak has come at the right time. Before it they had lost 10 straight games dating from March 5 to March 21. The Grizzlies are on a streak of their own, but it is a 4-game losing skid. They still haven’t won a game under new head coach Tuomas Iisalo, going 0-3 in his first 3 games. To be fair to Iisalo, those were against the Lakers, Celtics and Warriors — but nonetheless he will be looking for his first win as a head coach tonight.

The Grizzlies were able to defeat the Heat handily not too long ago. On March 15, Memphis prevailed 125-91 while shooting 55% from the field. During their losing streak, it has not been offense that has plagued the Grizzlies, but instead it has been a lack of defense. Against Golden State they allowed Steph Curry to run free off of screens — and as a result Curry went 12-20 from 3-point range. Defending the 3-point line will need to be a point of emphasis tonight for Memphis against Miami, a team filled with long-range threats. The Grizzlies have a good opportunity tonight to try and take advantage of the Heat as they come into this game on the second half of a back-to-back. The Heat’s offense has been playing above their season averages in recent games. Over the course of the season, they sit in the bottom 10 of the NBA in points per game. If Memphis can come into this game with a sense of urgency as it tries to avoid the play-in tournament, it should have a good chance to fare relatively well against Miami.

Grizzlies vs Heat prediction: Memphis -4.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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We are hitting a critical point of the NBA regular season in terms of playoff seeding and no team in the NBA is in a better position to go up in the standings as the Minnesota Timberwolves are. With 6 games remaining, the T-Wolves have the easiest remaining schedule — and the fifth seed is just half a game away. Without Naz Reid and Donte DiVincenzo in the last game, Minnesota was able to overcome a historic night from Nikola Jokic in a double-OT thriller. The ‘Wolves have now won 7 of 10 games, and against Thursday’s opponent — the Brooklyn Nets — they are 4-1 SU in the last 5 meetings and have covered the spread 10 times in the last 13 games head-to-head.

Brooklyn has shown signs of life, winning its last 2 games. However, with that the Nets have shot themselves in the foot — they have now overtaken the 76ers in the East standings, which hurts their chances of landing a high pick in the NBA Draft lottery. The Nets rank 12th in the East and are likely to stay there, as the Sixers are doing their best to tank these remaining 6 games. There is a long list on the Nets’ injury report, so it’s unclear which team we will see on Thursday night. Point guard D’Angelo Russell is a game-time decision with a knee issue and Brooklyn’s offense runs through him, so his potential absence could have a deciding factor in the outcome of this game. Minnesota is on a good run right now; it has won 12 of 15 overall and 5 of 6 on the road. Three of the Timberwolves’ last 4 wins have come by double-digits. With Reid and DiVincenzo coming back, they should be able to put enough points to blow out the Nets. I’m backing Minnesota to cover.

Timberwolves vs Nets prediction: Minnesota -12.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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