Andrew Wilsher
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The Super Bowl is upon us, and the nation is talking about one thing — Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift! Okay, so maybe they’re talking about the Kansas City Chiefs looking to repeat as Super Bowl champions and getting past the San Francisco 49ers, but Kelce and Swift are a big part of this story. In fact, this could be one of the most-viewed Super Bowls we’ve seen in a long time thanks to the romance between Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift. As a result, I’ve taken a special look at the league’s best tight end and have come up with my best Travis Kelce player prop bet for Super Bowl 58.Let’s dive in, but make sure you also read our full San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl 58 predictions.
Travis Kelce, TE, KC, Under 6.5 receptions (+120)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
Understandably, people are going to be attracted to Travis Kelce’s overs this week. He’s been on fire this postseason, is Patrick Mahomes’ favorite target, and it would be fitting that he has a big game with his superstar girlfriend watching on from the stands. But for me, all that does is set up a great contrarian play where we can get some great value by taking the under.
First things first, we are getting this prop at plus-money odds even though Kelce has had 7 receptions or more in just 2 of his last 9 games. Admittedly, both of those games have come in these playoffs, but this 49ers defense will know that Kelce will be Kansas City’s key to success through the air and will do all they can to shut it down. They just gave up 9 receptions to Sam LaPorta last week too, so I have no doubt it’ll be an area they’ll be desperate to improve. Overall, the 49ers allowed the 4th-fewest passing yards per attempt during the regular season and registered the joint-most interceptions. This team is no slouch.
This pick isn’t to say that Kelce won’t have a big game. I do expect him to have a big game! But it’s more on the fact that this line is set way too high and there is a serious opportunity in getting under 6.5 receptions at plus-money odds. Kelce had games of 81, 83 and 91 receiving yards this season without hitting 7 receptions. In last year’s Super Bowl, he had 81 receiving yards and a touchdown, but only 6 receptions. All things considered, I’m happy rolling with the under here, and would also recommend sprinkling a little on a Same Game Parlay of Kelce under 6.5 receptions and over 71.5 receiving yards at +1074 odds with FanDuel.
Check out our NFL expert’s Super Bowl 58 49ers vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay at +700 odds
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet Odds and Lines
Below, we’ve listed all of the Travis Kelce player prop bet odds and lines, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:
- Travis Kelce to be Super Bowl MVP +1700
- Travis Kelce to score a touchdown +100
- Travis Kelce to score 2+ touchdowns +700
- Travis Kelce to score 3+ touchdowns +4000
- Travis Kelce over/under 71.5 receiving yards -110/-110
- Travis Kelce over/under 6.5 receptions -144/+118
- Travis Kelce longest reception over/under 20.5 yards -124/+102
