UFC on ESPN 66: Randy Brown vs. Nicolas Dalby Prediction for Today, 04/26/25

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 66 will see Randy Brown take on Nicolas Dalby. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Brown enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-6 and 13-6 in the UFC. He averages 4.25 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Brown is absorbing 3.24 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.81 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 39%, and his takedown defense is 73%.

Dalby enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-5-1 and 7-4-1 in the UFC. He averages 4.06 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Dalby is absorbing 3.52 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 52%. Like Brown, his grappling has been decent, averaging 1.01 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 27%, and his takedown defense is 58%.

Brown is the heavy favorite, so we will be looking at this fight to go the distance instead. Dalby has seen 6 of his last 7 UFC fights go the distance, while Brown has seen 5 of his last 7 UFC fights do the same. For this reason, also backing this fight to go the distance will be our lean.