UFC Picks

Pickswise is the number 1 site for free expert UFC Picks across all of the main event and fight night cards, every weekend. Our dedicated MMA handicapping team includes some of the best in the business with decades of experience handicapping MMA, and a long and successful track record with their picks.

There’s a new sport of kings and the popularity of mixed martial arts is largely being driven by the UFC. In the most straightforward terms, Our UFC picks involve picking who will be the winner of each fight on a certain card. There are dozens of other ways to wager on MMA fighting, and we’re on hand to find the best value MMA picks every week. Check out our handy expert guides below for more on how and where to bet on the UFC.

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7:00 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC Fight Night 241: Luana Pinheiro vs. Angela Hill

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Money Line Pick

Pinheiro WinUFC Fight Night 241: Luana Pinheiro vs. Angela Hill

Reasoning

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Luana Pinheiro take on Angela Hill. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Strawweight division. Pinheiro comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-2 and she is 4-1 in the UFC. Pinheiro is averaging 3.89 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. She is absorbing 4.38 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. Her grappling has been elite so far, averaging 2.36 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 40% and her takedown defense is 66%.

Hill comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-13 and she is 11-13 in the UFC. Hill is averaging 5.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. She is absorbing 4.94 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. Her grappling is not quite as strong, averaging 0.73 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 34% and her takedown defense is 75%.

Hill is the favorite in this fight, but her inconsistencies in the UFC is a cause for concern. Pinheiro on the other hand, has proven to be a much better grappler and is in better form overall. For that reason, backing Pinheiro to win will be our best bet.

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$44.00

Matthew Lowrimore

7:30 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC Fight Night 241: Adrian Yanez vs. Vinicius Salvador

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Fight Prop Pick

Fight to End by KO/TKOUFC Fight Night 241: Adrian Yanez vs. Vinicius Salvador

Reasoning

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Adrian Yanez take on Vinicius Salvador. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Yanez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-4. He is 6-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Rob Font by KO/TKO back in April of this year. Yanez is averaging 6.75 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. He is absorbing 5.89 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. Yanez has yet to show much grappling ability in the UFC, but has a takedown defense of 100%.

Salvador comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-6 and he is 1-2 in the UFC. Salvador is averaging 5.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 6.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. Salvador’s grappling has not been good, averaging 0.38 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 11% and a takedown defense of 86%.

Yanez is the clear favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at how this fight will end. Salvador has seen 15 of his 20 career fights end by KO/TKO, while Yanez has seen 12 of his 21 fights end by KO/TKO, which includes 4 of his last 5 fights. Because both fighters have seen plenty of their fights end by KO/TKO, backing the same here will be our lean.

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$15.70

Matthew Lowrimore

8:00 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC Fight Night 241: Themba Gorimbo vs. Ramiz Brahimaj

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Money Line Pick

Gorimbo WinUFC Fight Night 241: Themba Gorimbo vs. Ramiz Brahimaj

Reasoning

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Themba Gorimbo take on Ramiz Brahimaj. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Gorimbo comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-4 and he is 2-1 in the UFC. Gorimbo is averaging 2.30 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. He is absorbing 1.67 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.39 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 45% and has a takedown defense of 66%.

Brahimaj comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-4 and he is 2-2 in the UFC. Brahimaj is averaging 2.47 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. He is absorbing 4.08 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.90 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 2.4 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 66% and his takedown defense is 58%.

Gorimbo is a moderate favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. His grappling is superior to Brahimaj’s, and his takedown defense has been good enough to help nullify any submission attempts. He has also won back-to-back fights, therefore backing Gorimbo to win will be our lean.

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$17.00

Matthew Lowrimore

8:30 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC Fight Night 241: Khaos Williams vs. Carlston Harris

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Total Rounds Pick

Over 1.5 RoundsUFC Fight Night 241: Khaos Williams vs. Carlston Harris

Reasoning

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Khaos Williams take on Carlston Harris. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Williams comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-3 and he is 5-2 in the UFC. Williams is averaging 5.77 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. He is absorbing 5.33 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. He has not shown much grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 80%.

Harris comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-5 and he is 4-1 in the UFC. Harris is averaging 2.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 2.44 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. Grappling will be the key for Harris here as he is averaging 2.05 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Further, Harris has a takedown accuracy of 29% and his takedown defense is 55%.

Williams is the small favorite, but with both fighters having had success in the UFC, instead we will be looking at a total rounds prop. Harris has seen each of his last 2 fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Williams has seen each of this last 5 UFC fights do the same. Because of this, backing over 1.5 rounds will be our best bet.

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$32.60

Matthew Lowrimore

9:00 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC Fight Night 241: Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy

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Money Line Pick

Murphy WinUFC Fight Night 241: Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy

Reasoning

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Edson Barboza take on Lerone Murphy. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Barboza comes into this fight with an MMA record of 24-11 and he is 18-11 in the UFC. Barboza is averaging 4.18 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. He is absorbing 4.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling will likely not be much of a factor, averaging 0.48 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Barboza has a takedown accuracy of 50% and his takedown defense of 75%.

Murphy comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-0-1 and he is 5-0-1 in the UFC. Murphy is averaging 3.65 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 2.40 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is solid, averaging 1.29 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 46% and his takedown defense is 46%.

Murphy is the moderate-sized favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the side worth backing. Aside from the fact that he has never lost in the UFC, Murphy also has the clear edge in grappling and Barboza is an inconsistent 2-2 in his last 4 fights. Because of this, backing Murphy to win will be our best bet.

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$33.60

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC Video

UFC Picks Explained

There are many different types of UFC picks, with countless ways to bet on this weekend’s UFC action. As with most sports, the easiest and simplest form of UFC pick is the Moneyline. A UFC Moneyline pick is a pick on who you think will win the fight, the method is irrelevant, be it TKO/KO, submission, or on the judge’s scorecard, whoever has their arm raised is the Moneyline winner. Other popular UFC Picks include the Method Of Victory and an over/under on the number of rounds the fight will last. Aside from these, there are many other props available ranging from Strikes Landed, Number Of Takedowns, or Will The Fight Go The Distance. Here at Pickswise, our expert UFC handicappers are on hand to find the best UFC Picks for all of this week’s action. Check out our latest UFC Picks above.

UFC Picks Tonight

The UFC always puts on a great show and a big card each weekend. And come fight night everyone is searching for the best UFC picks tonight. With so many fights on any given card, and odds available on the Early Prelims, the Preliminary Card, and the Main Card, it is hard to research them all and even the avid UFC fan will not know all of the fighters. Here at Pickswise, we have some of the best UFC handicappers around, who live and breathe all things UFC. Our level of expertise is what separates us from the rest. Our handicappers leave no stone unturned and provide an in-depth fight preview with the key stats and information ahead of each fight and all of our UFC Picks. Check out all of tonight’s UFC picks, now.

UFC Pick Em

A UFC Pick Em can mean one of two things, either the sportsbooks have each fighter with the same odds, a bit like in the NFL, when the spread is 0, or it could mean a contest whereby you have to pick the winner of each fight, in effect the Moneyline winner. Our UFC picks and the insight and analysis in particular that we offer alongside them can be used in both of these circumstances. We offer our experts’ view on the fight including the outcome, including those Moneyline UFC pick-em spots, and also on all of the other top UFC action. With our in-depth previews and picks, you can also use these as the basis for your UFC Pick Em contest too. Whatever you need, Pickswise will have you covered with all things UFC, from the best picks to the latest UFC betting news. We help you to Bet better.

UFC DFS Picks

Our UFC picks are also great for your UFC DFS picks. Each of our picks, which gives our idea of the winner, comes with key stats and analysis as to why we like a certain fighter in that spot. These stats and strategies can be used to maximize the points your get in your UFC DFS contest. With points scored for strikes, takedowns, finishes, and more, all of this will be found in our previews, along with the fighters’ previous fight stats for all of those categories. Check out this week’s UFC picks today to help you win your UFC DFS contest

When Are Your UFC Picks Posted

Our UFC Picks are typically posted just after the weigh-ins which usually take place the day before the fight. Waiting until this point allows us to maximize the information we can obtain from the Fight Week clues. One of the UFC’s biggest strengths as an organization and a big proponent of its success is the access in which it gives the media surrounding an event. Both fighters will be made available to the media on fight week and as are the weigh-ins. In both of these instances, you can get both physical and verbal clues as to how the fighter’s camp, weight cut, and preparation have gone over the previous 6-8 weeks. Of course, a fighter isn’t going to give his or her game plan away in its entirety, but even slight clues in their answers, or seeing the shape they are in at the weigh-in can be performance indicators for the weekend. All of this is considered right up until the time we post our picks, as we want to ensure we have all of the available information to make the most informed and best free UFC picks out there.

MMA Predictions and MMA Picks

The emergence of the UFC has done wonders for Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) with peak UFC fights drawing in audiences in their millions, from around the world. The UFC is the pinnacle of MMA and our experts follow MMA institutions from around the world and already know a great deal about fighters that secure that big move into the UFC. The UFC is such a large institution, hosting MMA fight cards almost weekly throughout the year, and with a large number of fights, our MMA picks solely focus on these UFC events. Our MMA Picks will largely focus on the main markets of the fights with Moneyline MMA picks and Method of Victory markets which can offer considerably greater odds than a Moneyline wager. We provide a detailed rundown of the fighters, and how we see the fights shaping up, taking the various MMA disciplines into consideration in finding the best MMA picks on the card. Our MMA picks will be posted in good time before fight night so you can digest our fight-by-fight analysis and best MMA picks this week.

Unsure where to wager on the UFC? Check out our full UFC Betting Guide for our best UFC sportsbooks, along with our Online Sportsbook Reviews, where we detail everything you need to know about all of the top online sportsbooks, including the best bonuses and promo codes for new customers.