UFC on ESPN 65: Torrez Finney vs. Robert Valentin Prediction for Tomorrow, 04/05/25

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 65 will see Torrez Finney take on Robert Valentin. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Finny enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-0 and 3-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 70%. Finney absorbs 1.86 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. He has shown elite grappling in the Contender Series, averaging 10.04 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same period. Finny has a takedown accuracy of 69%, and he has not been taken down.

Valentin enters this fight with an MMA record of 11-4 and 0-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 0.15 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Valentin absorbs 6.16 strikes and has a striking defense of 19%. He did not show any grappling ability in his lone UFC fight but is averaging 4.4 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Valentin also has a takedown defense of 66%.

While this is technically Finney’s UFC debut, he is a huge favorite in this fight. Because of that, we will be looking at the method for how Finny could win. He has won 2 of his 3 Contender Series fights and 8 of his 10 career MMA fights by finish. As for Valentin, he lost his lone UFC fight by finish, and 3 of his 4 losses are also by finish. For that reason, backing Finney to win by finish will be our play.