UFC Fight Night 253: Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev Prediction

UFC Fight Night 253: Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev Prediction for Saturday, 03/01/25

UFC Apex
Sat Mar 1

UFC Fight Night 253: Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Almabayev Win(+180)

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 253 will see Manel Kape take on Asu Almabayev. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Kape enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-7 and 5-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.05 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Kape is absorbing 4.15 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling has not been very good, averaging just 0.47 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 77%.

Almabayev enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-2 and 4-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.11 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Almabayev absorbs 1.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 5.05 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.9 submission attempts during the same period. Almabayev has a takedown accuracy and takedown defense of 50%.

Kape is the clear favorite in this fight but Almabayev looks to be a solid option to pull the upset. Where Almabayev lacking in striking volume, he makes up for it with his elite grappling ability. Based on this, backing Almabayev to win and pull the upset will be our best bet.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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