UFC Fight Night 245: Charles Johnson vs. Sumudaerji Prediction for Tomorrow, 10/19/24

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 245 will see Charles Johnson take on Sumudaerji. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Johnson enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-6 and he is 5-4 in the UFC. He averages 4.83 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Johnson absorbs 3.45 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling has not been as strong, averaging 0.38 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 20% and a takedown defense of 66%.

Sumudaerji enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-6 and he is 3-3 in the UFC. He averages 4.64 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Sumudaerji absorbs 2.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling ability has been lacking, averaging 0.29 takedowns every 15 minutes. Sumudaerji has a takedown accuracy of 100% and a takedown defense of 66%.

Johnson is the clear favorite in this fight but backing him still looks to be the best play. Johnson has won his last 3 UFC fights in a row, while Sumudaerji has lost his last 2 UFC fights and 2 of his last 3 fights. Johnson also has better striking and grappling, therefore backing him to win will be our lean.