UFC Fight Night 243: Renato Moicano vs. Benoit Saint Denis Predictions for Tomorrow, 09/28/24

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 243 will see Renato Moicano take on Benoit Saint Denis. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Moicano enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-5-1 and he is 11-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.38 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Moicano is absorbing 3.68 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.89 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 45% and a takedown defense of 72%.

Saint Denis enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and he is 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Saint Denis is absorbing 4.98 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. His grappling is also elite, averaging 4.76 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.5 submission attempts during the same period. Saint Denis has a takedown accuracy of 37% and his takedown defense is 69%.

Saint Denis is the heavy favorite in this fight, so instead, we will look for this fight to go over 1.5 rounds. Moicano has seen 3 of his last 4 fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Saint Denis has seen 2 of his last 3 fights do the same. Because both fighters have seen their fights last longer recently, backing this fight to go over 1.5 rounds will be our best bet.