UFC 313: King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy Predictions

UFC 313: King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy Predictions for Saturday, 03/08/25

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UFC 313: King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy Pickswise Expert Predictions

Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - No(-210)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 313 will see King Green take on Mauricio Ruffy. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Green enters this fight with an MMA record of 32-16-1 and 17-13-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.43 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Green is absorbing 3.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling has been decent throughout his career, averaging 1.23 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 39% and a takedown defense of 74%.

Ruffy enters this fight with an MMA record of 11-1 and 3-0 in the UFC. He averages 4.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. Ruffy absorbs 4.76 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. He has not shown any grappling ability but has a takedown defense of 100%.

Given that Ruffy is one of the biggest favorites on this card, we will instead look at this fight to end inside the distance. Green has seen 4 of his last 5 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Ruffy has seen 2 of his 3 UFC fights do the same. Based on the fact that both fighters have had a high finish rate recently, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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