UFC 311: Kevin Holland vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction for Today, 01/18/25

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 311 will see Kevin Holland take on Reinier de Ridder. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Holland enters this fight with an MMA record of 26-12 and 14-9 in the UFC. He averages 4.24 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Holland absorbs 3.21 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.83 takedowns every 15 minutes. Holland has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 54%.

De Ridder enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-2 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.24 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. De Ridder absorbs 2.56 strikes and has a striking defense of 44%. Through one UFC fight, his grappling has been elite, averaging 6.39 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 100%.

De Ridder is the small favorite in this fight and looks to be the best betting option. He had an impressive UFC debut, plus he has superior grappling. On top of that, Holland is just 1-3 in his last 4 UFC fights, therefore backing De Ridder to win will be our best bet.