UFC 311: Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano Prediction for Tomorrow, 01/18/25

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 311 will see Beneil Dariush take on Renato Moicano. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Dariush enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-6-1 and 16-6-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Dariush absorbs 2.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.90 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 90%.

Moicano enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-5-1 and he is 12-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.42 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Moicano is absorbing 3.60 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.87 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 44% and a takedown defense of 72%.

Moicano is the heavy favorite in this fight, therefore we will be looking at this fight to end inside the distance. Moicano has seen 10 of his last 12 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Dariush has seen each of his last 2 UFC fights end inside the distance. Because of this, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our lean.