UFC Picks

Pickswise is the number 1 site for free expert UFC Picks across all of the main event and fight night cards, every weekend. Our dedicated MMA handicapping team includes some of the best in the business with decades of experience handicapping MMA, and a long and successful track record with their picks.

There’s a new sport of kings and the popularity of mixed martial arts is largely being driven by the UFC. In the most straightforward terms, Our UFC picks involve picking who will be the winner of each fight on a certain card. There are dozens of other ways to wager on MMA fighting, and we’re on hand to find the best value MMA picks every week. Check out our handy expert guides below for more on how and where to bet on the UFC.

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9:00 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 71: Danny Silva vs. Kevin Vallejos

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Method of Victory Pick

Vallejos Win by KO/TKO(-110)

Reasoning

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Danny Silva take on Kevin Vallejos. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Silva enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-1 and 3-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 7.36 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. Silva absorbs 7.96 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 2.33 takedowns every 15 minutes. Silva has a takedown accuracy of 46% and a takedown defense of 100%.

Vallejos enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-1 and 2-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.48 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Vallejos is absorbing 5.70 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 66%.

Given that Vallejos is the significant favorite, we will target the method by which he could win. Vallejos has the clear advantage in striking volume and has won both of his UFC fights by KO/TKO. Both of these wins were in the first round as well; therefore, backing Vallejos to win by KO/TKO will be our lean.

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9:30 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 71: Neil Magny vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

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Fight Prop Pick

Fight to go the Distance - No(+105)

Reasoning

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Neil Magny take on Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Magny enters this fight with an MMA record of 29-14 and 22-12 in the UFC. He averages 3.43 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Magny is absorbing 2.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.12 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 53%.

Dos Santos enters this fight with an MMA record of 25-9-1 and 11-5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.26 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Dos Santos is absorbing 3.52 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.75 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 20% and a takedown defense of 68%.

For this fight, we will be targeting it to end inside the distance. Magny has seen 6 of his last 8 UFC fights end inside the distance, including his last 3 UFC fights in a row. As for Dos Santos, he has seen 6 of his last 12 UFC fights end inside the distance, including his last 2 UFC fights in a row. Because both fighters have had a high finish rate recently, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our best bet.

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10:00 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 71: Karol Rosa vs. Nora Cornolle

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Method of Victory Pick

Rosa Win by Decision(-150)

Reasoning

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Karol Rosa take on Nora Cornolle. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Bantamweight division. Rosa enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-7 and 7-4 in the UFC. She averages 6.22 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Rosa absorbs 4.84 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. Her grappling has also been decent, averaging 1.09 takedowns every 15 minutes. Rosa has a takedown accuracy of 46% and a takedown defense of 70%.

Cornolle enters this fight with an MMA record of 9-2 and 3-1 in the UFC. She averages 3.07 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Cornolle absorbs 1.91 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. Her grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.33 takedowns every 15 minutes. Cornolle has a takedown accuracy of 11% and a takedown defense of 50%.

For this fight, we will be targeting the method of victory for Rosa. She has won all of her UFC fights by decision, while Cornolle’s only UFC loss was by decision. Based on that, backing Rosa to win by decision will be our best bet.

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10:30 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 71: Elves Brener vs. Esteban Ribovics

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Total Rounds Pick

Over 1.5 Rounds(-270)

Reasoning

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Elves Brener take on Esteban Ribovics. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Brener comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-5 and 3-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.99 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Brener absorbs 5.30 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.23 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 23% and his takedown defense is 76%.

Ribovics enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2 and 4-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 8.08 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Ribovics is absorbing 5.92 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging 0.48 takedowns every 15 minutes. Ribovics has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 63%.

For this fight, we will be targeting a total rounds prop. Brener has seen 4 of his 5 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Ribovics has seen 4 of his 6 UFC fights do the same. Based on this, backing over 1.5 rounds will be our lean.

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11:00 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 71: Mateusz Rebecki vs. Chris Duncan

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Fight Prop Pick

Fight to go the Distance - No(-210)

Reasoning

The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Mateusz Rebecki take on Chris Duncan. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Rebecki enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-2 and 5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Rebecki absorbs 4.13 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 3.84 takedowns every 15 minutes. Rebecki has a takedown accuracy of 75% and a takedown defense of 45%.

Duncan enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.20 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Duncan absorbs 3.63 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 4.10 takedowns every 15 minutes. Duncan has a takedown accuracy of 43% and a takedown of 37%.

For this fight, we will be targeting it to end inside the distance. Rebecki has seen 4 of his 6 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Duncan has seen 5 of his 7 UFC fights do the same, including his last 3 UFC fights in a row. Because of that, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our lean.

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11:30 PM ETYesterday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 71: Tatsuro Taira vs. HyunSung Park

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Money Line Pick

Park Win(+280)

Reasoning

The Main Event at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Tatsuro Taira take on HyunSung Park. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Taira enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-1 and 6-1 in the UFC. He averages 2.99 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Taira absorbs 2.69 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 2.73 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.6 submission attempts during the same period. Taira has a takedown accuracy of 44% and his takedown defense is 45%.

Park enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-0 and 5-0 in the UFC. He averages 4.27 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Park absorbs 3.29 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 1.90 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.9 submission attempts during the same period. Park has a takedown accuracy of 33% and his takedown defense is 100%.

Taira is the overwhelming favorite in this fight; however, Park looks to be a decent betting option to pull off the massive upset. Not only is Park perfect in the UFC, but his striking volume is better, and he has a perfect takedown defense, which will help limit the advantage Taira has in grappling. Because Park has yet to show much weakness, backing him to win will be our best bet.

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UFC Picks Explained

There are many different types of UFC picks, with countless ways to bet on this weekend’s UFC action. As with most sports, the easiest and simplest form of UFC pick is the Moneyline. A UFC Moneyline pick is a pick on who you think will win the fight, the method is irrelevant, be it TKO/KO, submission, or on the judge’s scorecard, whoever has their arm raised is the Moneyline winner. Other popular UFC Picks include the Method Of Victory and an over/under on the number of rounds the fight will last. Aside from these, there are many other props available ranging from Strikes Landed, Number Of Takedowns, or Will The Fight Go The Distance. Here at Pickswise, our expert UFC handicappers are on hand to find the best UFC Picks for all of this week’s action. Check out our latest UFC Picks above.

UFC Picks Tonight

The UFC always puts on a great show and a big card each weekend. And come fight night everyone is searching for the best UFC picks tonight. With so many fights on any given card, and odds available on the Early Prelims, the Preliminary Card, and the Main Card, it is hard to research them all and even the avid UFC fan will not know all of the fighters. Here at Pickswise, we have some of the best UFC handicappers around, who live and breathe all things UFC. Our level of expertise is what separates us from the rest. Our handicappers leave no stone unturned and provide an in-depth fight preview with the key stats and information ahead of each fight and all of our UFC Picks. Check out all of tonight’s UFC picks, now.

UFC Pick Em

A UFC Pick Em can mean one of two things, either the sportsbooks have each fighter with the same odds, a bit like in the NFL, when the spread is 0, or it could mean a contest whereby you have to pick the winner of each fight, in effect the Moneyline winner. Our UFC picks and the insight and analysis in particular that we offer alongside them can be used in both of these circumstances. We offer our experts’ view on the fight including the outcome, including those Moneyline UFC pick-em spots, and also on all of the other top UFC action. With our in-depth previews and picks, you can also use these as the basis for your UFC Pick Em contest too. Whatever you need, Pickswise will have you covered with all things UFC, from the best picks to the latest UFC betting news. We help you to Bet better.

UFC DFS Picks

Our UFC picks are also great for your UFC DFS picks. Each of our picks, which gives our idea of the winner, comes with key stats and analysis as to why we like a certain fighter in that spot. These stats and strategies can be used to maximize the points your get in your UFC DFS contest. With points scored for strikes, takedowns, finishes, and more, all of this will be found in our previews, along with the fighters’ previous fight stats for all of those categories. Check out this week’s UFC picks today to help you win your UFC DFS contest

When Are Your UFC Picks Posted

Our UFC Picks are typically posted just after the weigh-ins which usually take place the day before the fight. Waiting until this point allows us to maximize the information we can obtain from the Fight Week clues. One of the UFC’s biggest strengths as an organization and a big proponent of its success is the access in which it gives the media surrounding an event. Both fighters will be made available to the media on fight week and as are the weigh-ins. In both of these instances, you can get both physical and verbal clues as to how the fighter’s camp, weight cut, and preparation have gone over the previous 6-8 weeks. Of course, a fighter isn’t going to give his or her game plan away in its entirety, but even slight clues in their answers, or seeing the shape they are in at the weigh-in can be performance indicators for the weekend. All of this is considered right up until the time we post our picks, as we want to ensure we have all of the available information to make the most informed and best free UFC picks out there.

MMA Predictions and MMA Picks

The emergence of the UFC has done wonders for Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) with peak UFC fights drawing in audiences in their millions, from around the world. The UFC is the pinnacle of MMA and our experts follow MMA institutions from around the world and already know a great deal about fighters that secure that big move into the UFC. The UFC is such a large institution, hosting MMA fight cards almost weekly throughout the year, and with a large number of fights, our MMA picks solely focus on these UFC events. Our MMA Picks will largely focus on the main markets of the fights with Moneyline MMA picks and Method of Victory markets which can offer considerably greater odds than a Moneyline wager. We provide a detailed rundown of the fighters, and how we see the fights shaping up, taking the various MMA disciplines into consideration in finding the best MMA picks on the card. Our MMA picks will be posted in good time before fight night so you can digest our fight-by-fight analysis and best MMA picks this week.

Unsure where to wager on the UFC? Check out our full UFC Betting Guide for our best UFC sportsbooks, along with our Online Sportsbook Reviews, where we detail everything you need to know about all of the top online sportsbooks, including the best bonuses and promo codes for new customers.