NBA Picks

Expert NBA picks throughout the 2024/25 season. We crunch the numbers, analyze the data, and provide free NBA expert picks every day. You can trust our experienced NBA handicappers to find all the key betting trends and make NBA picks you can trust all season long.

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Game Totals Pick

Under 220.0(-110)

Reasoning

The Miami Heat struggled to gel offensively in the lead up to the all-star break. Over their last 5 games they have managed to score 110 or more points on just 1 occasion. As a result, 4 of the games during that stretch came in under the combined 220-point mark. They are visiting the Toronto Raptors, who will be without both Jakob Poeltl and Brandon Ingram . It should mean there are more minutes for the likes of Jonothan Mogbo. The rookie is bit a offensive threat at this stage of his career and could have issues replicating the production the Poeltl would have offered. Tyler Herro appears on the injury report for the Heat. While he is probable to play, he has been dealing with a shoulder issue — so it could impact the shooting of the Heat’s offensive leader.

Over the last 10 games both sides have relied on their defensive performances to keep them in games. During that stretch they rank 12th and 13th in defensive rating, respectively. With the teams 19th and 28th in pace and 26th and 27th in offensive rating, this could very well turn into a slow, gritty defensive battle. The Raptors are also shooting 34% percent over the last 10 games from beyond the arc. That puts them 24th in the league in that category. Considering the Heat are even worse in that percentage wise, do not expect a barrage of 3-pointers. These 2 teams will likely struggle to reach the combined 220-point mark as a result.

Heat vs Raptors prediction: Under 220 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 219.

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Point Spread Pick

HOU Rockets -3.5(-115)

Reasoning

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets will both be taking the court for the first time since the all-star break when they square off on Friday night in Houston. A whole host of question marks on Minnesota’s side mean that Houston against the spread is my Timberwolves vs Rockets prediction. Julius Randle (groin) and Donte DiVincenzo (toe) remain sidelined for the visitors, while Anthony Edwards (hip), Rudy Gobert (back) and Mike Conley are all questionable. Minnesota has played better basketball for the most part over the past month or so compared to the start of the season, but it has lost 2 of its last 3 games.

Even if the Timberwolves are close to 100 percent on Friday, this is a tough test against the Rockets. Houston is sporting a 34-21 record and has won 2 of its last 3 contests. Fred VanVleet (ankle) is out, but otherwise the home team is healthy. Aaron Holiday stepped up for VanVleet in the last outing prior to the break, going for 25 points in a loss to Golden State. Leading scorer Jalen Green (21.2 ppg) has scored more than his season average in 6 of the past 10 games. All things considered, the Rockets look like the safer, smarter play for this one.

Timberwolves vs Rockets prediction: Houston -3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -4.

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NBA Video

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Free NBA Money Line Picks

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Pickswise is the home of the best free basketball picks today, you can even check out our selections for the Best NBA Bets right now. Our expert basketball handicappers break down today’s matches to find you the best free basketball picks, We’ve also got expert advice for NBA Futures and how to bet on the NBA. A good basketball pick is a well-researched and fully informed one. Our experts crunch all the latest NBA News, team and player statistics, trends, history and rely upon decades of handicapping experience ahead of making each basketball pick.

NBA Picks: The proof is in the statline

At Pickswise we work hard to bring you the best NBA picks in the market, on all bet types. Our expert handicappers don’t just rely on their decades of experience, we choose to take the statistical approach. All of our team are specially selected and have demonstrable experience and success. As a result, everyone on our roster puts in hours of research and data analysis as part of every NBA pick, bringing you picks you can rely on.

Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor

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NBA Picks FAQs

How Do You Pick Against the Spread In The NBA?

Betting against the spread means to bet on the favourite to win by a certain amount of points or the underdog to win or lose by fewer than a certain amount.

Picks against the spread are popular amongst NBA bettors because they give more favorable odds for favorites and less risk when betting on an underdog.

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