Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC on ESPN 51 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Nevada, Las Vegas. This card features a welterweight fight between Vicente Luque and Rafael Dos Anjos as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC on ESPN 51 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC on ESPN 51 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC on ESPN 51 Main Card best bets
Polyana Viana vs Iasmin Lucindo – Fight to go the Distance – No (+100)
Iasmin Lucindo is the clear favorite in this fight, but looking at this fight to end inside the distance might be the better option. Polyana Viana has seen 4 of her last 5 fights end inside the distance, while Lucindo has seen 13 of her 19 career fights do the same. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.
Tafon Nchukwi ML over AJ Dobson (-142)
Tafon Nchukwi comes into this fight with an MMA record of 6-3. He is 3-3 in the UFC, most recently losing to Carlos Ulberg by KO/TKO back in June of 2022. Nchukwi is averaging 6.05 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. He is absorbing 4.03 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 0.94 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 57%, but his takedown defense is 71%.
Nchukwi is a moderate-sized favorite in this fight. He has lost two fights in a row, but because he has the superior striking and a solid takedown defense, backing Nchukwi to win will be our play.
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UFC on ESPN 51 Preliminary Card Best Bet
Martin Buday ML over Josh Parisian (-198)
Martin Buday comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-1. He is 4-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Jake Collier by unanimous decision back in April of this year. Buday is averaging 5.22 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 5.33 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%.
Buday is a heavy favorite in this fight, but that should not scare you off backing him to win. Josh Parisian has been inconsistent in the UFC recently, losing 3 of his last 5 fights. Buday has the superior striking and has never lost in the UFC, therefore backing him to win will be our play.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
