Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC on ESPN 46 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a flyweight fight between Kai Kara-France and Amir Albazi as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC on ESPN 46 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC on ESPN 46 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC on ESPN 46 Main Card best bets
Amir Albazi ML over Kai Kara-France (-110)
Amir Albazi comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-1. He is 4-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Alessandro Costa by KO/TKO back in December of 2022. Albazi is averaging 3.54 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 43%. He is absorbing 2.47 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has been elite thus far, averaging 2.47 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 0.8 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 50% and his takedown defense is 66%.
While this fight is evenly matched, Albazi appears to have the upper hand. He is a much more balanced fighter with much better grappling, therefore backing Albazi to win and remain undefeated in the UFC will be our play.
Victor Altamirano ML over Tim Elliot (+155)
Victor Altamirano comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-2. He is 3-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Vinicius Salvador by unanimous decision back in March of this year. Altamirano is averaging 6.15 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. He is absorbing 4.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling has been great so far, averaging 2.47 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 23% and his takedown defense is 74%.
Tim Elliot is the favorite in this fight, but has been wildly inconsistent in the UFC. Altamirano has been very good to start his UFC and has the significant striking. For that reason, backing Altamirano to pull the upset will be our play.
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Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos ML over Abubakar Nurmagomedov (-105)
Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-7. He is 9-3 in the UFC, most recently beating Benoit Saint Denis by unanimous decision back in October of 2021. Dos Santos is averaging 4.65 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 3.22 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is not as strong, averaging 0.52 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 15% and his takedown defense is 62%.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov is a small favorite, but Dos Santos has a significant advantage in terms of striking. It has been a while since Dos Santos fought in the UFC, but backing him to win will still be our best bet.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
