Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC on ESPN 37 takes place on Saturday at the Moody Center in Austin, Texas. This card will feature a featherweight fight as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this event, with odds of +522 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 37 predictions for the full 14-fight card.
Let’s get into our parlay for Saturday’s card.
Calvin Kattar ML (-240) vs Josh Emmett
Calvin Kattar comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-5. He is 7-3 in the UFC, most recently beating Giga Chikadze by unanimous decision in January. Kattar is averaging 5.19 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Kattar is absorbing 7.64 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is not as strong though, averaging 0.51 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is only 29%, while his takedown defense is 89%.
Kattar is a heavy favorite is this fight, which feels about right. His striking is better than Josh Emmett’s and his elite takedown defense would suggest that he will be able to keep this fight standing. Kattar mainly wins by KO/TKO and decision, but does have a couple submission wins, so that is still a possibility. He has never lost by KO/TKO in his career, so backing Kattar here will be the play.
Adrian Yanez ML (-285) vs Tony Kelly
Adrian Yanez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-3. He is 5-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Davey Grant by split decision in November 2021. Yanez is averaging 6.35 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. He is absorbing 5.52 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. Yanez has yet to show much grappling ability in the UFC, but has a takedown defense of 100%.
Yanez has been perfect in the UFC so far and as a result, is a huge favorite in this fight. His striking has been far superior compared to Tony Kelley’s and his takedown defense is perfect, which suggests he could keep this fight standing. For that reason, backing Yanez to remain unbeaten in the UFC will be the play.
Don’t miss our UFC on ESPN 37 best bets!
Cody Stamann win by decision (+100) vs Eddie Wineland
Cody Stamann is one of the biggest favorites on the card, so his money line is not worth a money line play. Though at the same time, Eddie Wineland is not worth a play either given how poorly he has been performing. Stamann has lost 3 fights in a row, but each of his last 5 wins were by decision. He has 11 wins by decision in his career and while Wineland has had issues being knocked out, Stamann does not look to have the same amount of power. Stamann has not won by KO/TKO since 2017, so backing a decision win by Stamann will be the play.
Phil Hawes vs Deron Win – Fight to go the distance – No (-165)
Phil Hawes is a heavy favorite in this fight, but his recent loss by KO/TKO could be cause for some concern. Of his 14 career fights, 12 have ended inside the distance, including all 3 of his losses and 9 of his wins. Deron Winn has seen 5 of his 9 career fights end inside the distance and with his ability to take this fight to the ground, we could see some ground and pound or even some submission attempts. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance looks to be worth a play.
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