Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC on ESPN 34 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card will feature a welterweight fight as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC on ESPN 34 that has odds of +532. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 34 predictions for the full 14-fight card.
Miguel Baeza ML (-180) vs Andre Fialho
The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 34 will see Miguel Baeza take on Andre Fialho. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Baeza comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-2. He is 4-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Khaos Williams by KO/TKO back in November of 2021. Baeza is averaging 4.86 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 4.97 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is lacking though, averaging 0.28 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He does average 1.9 submission attempts during the same time period. Baeza has a takedown accuracy of 28% and a takedown defense of 100%.
Baeza is the clear favorite in this fight and his balanced fighting style looks to be the difference. Andre Fialho did not show a ton of promise against Michel Pereira and his inability to avoid damage could be his downfall. For that reason, backing Baeza will be the play.
Mounir Lazzez ML (-210) vs Ange Loosa
Mounir Lazzez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-2. He is 1-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Warlley Alves by KO/TKO back in January of 2021. Lazzez is averaging 5.69 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. He is absorbing 4.78 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. He also has solid grappling, averaging 3.41 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 100% and his takedown defense is 60%.
Lazzez is the clear favorite here and looks poised to bounce back from his first loss in the UFC. He is overall a more balanced fighter, while Ange Loosa struggled to avoid taking damage in his Contender Series fight. For that reason, backing Lazzez to win will be the play.
Lina Lansberg vs Pannie Kianzad – Fight to End by Unanimous Decision (-165)
Pannie Kianzad is a huge favorite here, so backing her on the money line is likely not worth the price. Of her 7 UFC fights, 6 of them have gone the distance and all 6 have ended by unanimous decision. For Lina Lansberg, 6 of her 8 UFC fights have gone the distance and all of those decisions were also unanimous. Whoever wins this fight is likely to dominate, so backing this fight to end by unanimous decision will be the play.
Jordan Leavitt vs Trey Ogden ML (-140)
Trey Ogden comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-4. He will be making his UFC debut and is favored to start with a win. Ogden already has 11 submission wins in his career with 4 wins by decision. He also has 3 loses by submissions so he will need to be careful to not get in trouble if this fight moves to the ground.
Jordan Leavitt has had some success when fighting on the ground, but his lack of takedown defense is a concern. Ogden has proven to be a real submission threat in other promotions, so for that reason, backing him will be the play.
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