Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC on ABC 5 takes place on Saturday at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. This card features a featherweight fight between Josh Emmett and Ilia Topuria as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC on ABC 5 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC on ABC 5 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC on ABC 5 Main Card best bets
David Onama vs Gabriel Santos – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (+130)
David Onama comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-2 and 2-2 in the UFC. Onama is averaging 5.30 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. He is absorbing 5.75 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 1.06 takedowns per 15 minutes. Onama has a takedown accuracy of 20% and his takedown defense is 45%.
Santos has an MMA record of 10-1 and 0-1 in the UFC. Santos is averaging 4.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. He is absorbing 6.20 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. Even though he lost his UFC debut, his grappling was elite, averaging 5.00 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 45% and his takedown defense is 50%.
Gabriel Santos is the clear favorite in this fight, but what looks more likely is for this fight to go the distance. While both fighters have won their majority of their fights by finish, neither has ever lost by finish and they are both coming off fights that were decided by decision. For that reason, backing this fight to go the distance will be our play.
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UFC on ABC 5 Preliminary Card best bet
Trevor Peek ML over Jose Mariscal (-110)
Trevor Peek comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-0. Peek is averaging 8.33 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 63%. He is absorbing 5.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. Because Peek has yet to lose and has won every fight by KO/TKO, backing him to win will be our play as Jose Mariscal has yet to face UFC competition.
Mateusz Rebecki ML over Loik Radzhabov (-140)
Mateusz Rebecki comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-1. Rebecki is averaging 4.92 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 2.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 4.15 takedowns per every 15 minutes. More importantly, he has a takedown accuracy of 62% and a takedown defense of 66%. Because he has been perfect in the UFC and nearly perfect in his career, backing him to win here will be our play.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
