Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC on ABC 4 takes place on Saturday at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. This card features a heavyweight fight between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +650 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ABC 4 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
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Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Almeida – End in Round 1 (-150)
Jailton Almeida is much too big of a favorite to back on the money line, but instead a quick fight should be expected. Jairzinho Rozenstruik has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights end in Round 1, while Almeida has also seen 3 of his last 4 fights end in Round 1. Because this fight is likely to end with one punch, backing this fight to end in Round 1 will be our play.
Daniel Rodriguez vs Ian Garry – Over 2.5 Rounds (-155)
Ian Garry is a significant favorite and while he looks to be the right side, backing his money line looks to be much too risky. He has however, seen his last 3 fights go over 2.5 rounds and 5 of his last 6 fights. Daniel Rodriguez has seen 4 of his last 6 fights do the same, therefore backing this fight to also go over 2.5 rounds will be our lean.
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Tim Means vs Alex Morono – Over 2.5 Rounds (-175)
Alex Morono is a heavy favorite in this fight, but Tim Means is a veteran, so it is a little risky to back his money line. Backing this fight to go over 2.5 rounds looks to be a better play as Morono has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights go over 2.5 rounds, while Means has seen 4 of his last 5 UFC fights do the same. For that reason, backing this fight to also go over 2.5 rounds will be our play.
Natan Levy vs Pete Rodriguez – Over 1.5 Rounds (-135)
Natan Levy is a heavy favorite in this fight, but looking at the total rounds looks to be the better play. Levy has seen all 4 of his UFC fights go over 1.5 total rounds, so even though both of Rodriguez’s UFC fights have ended in the first round, backing this fight to go over 1.5 rounds will be our play as Levy has never lost by KO/TKO in his career.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
