Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC on ABC 4 takes place on Saturday at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. This card features a heavyweight fight between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC on ABC 4 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC on ABC 4 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC on ABC 4 Main Card best bets
Johnny Walker ML over Anthony Smith (-110)
Johnny Walker comes into this fight with an MMA record of 20-7. He is 7-4 in the UFC, most recently beating Paul Craig by KO/TKO back in January of this year. Walker is averaging 3.38 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. He is absorbing 2.60 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. His grappling has not been consistent, averaging just 0.41 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 100% and his takedown defense is 58%.
This fight is evenly matched, and while Anthony Smith is in slightly better form, going 3-1 in his last 4 fights, our pick will be Walker as he has won 2 fights in a row, and has the better striking and better grappling.
Carlos Ulberg vs Ihor Potieria – Under 1.5 rounds (-135)
Carlos Ulberg is far too big of a favorite to back on the money line, but combined he and Ihor Potieria have seen 5 of their 8 UFC fights end under 1.5 rounds. This includes the last 2 fights in a row for Ulberg, therefore also backing this fight to go under 1.5 rounds will be our play.
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UFC on ABC 4 Preliminary Card best bet
Karl Williams vs Chase Sherman – Fight to end by KO/TKO (-110)
Karl Williams is the overwhelming favorite in this fight, therefore backing his money line is not worth the risk. Williams has seen just 3 of his 9 career fights by KO/TKO, but Chase Sherman has seen 19 of his 27 fights end by this method. Sherman’s most recent win came by KO/TKO and because both fighters have plenty of power, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
