Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 223 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a women’s strawweight between Mackenzie Dern and Angela Hill as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +441 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 223 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
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Anthony Hernandez ML over Edmen Shahbazyan (-230)
Anthony Hernandez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-2. He is 4-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Marc-Andre Barriault by submission back in September of 2022. Hernandez is averaging 4.03 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 59%. He is absorbing 3.50 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling is also an important part of his fighting style, where he is averaging 6.49 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 2.4 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 64% and has a takedown defense of 66%.
Hernandez is the heavy favorite which is warranted given that he is on a 3-fight win streak, while Edmen Shahbazyan is just 1-3 in his last 4 fights. Because Hernandez has been dominant recently, backing him to win will be our play.
Loopy Godinez ML over Emily Ducote (-155)
Loopy Godinez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-3. She is 4-3 in the UFC, most recently beating Cynthia Calvillo by split decision back in April of this year. Godinez is averaging 3.42 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. She is absorbing 3.18 strikes and has a striking defense of 63%. Her grappling has been solid so far, averaging 3.82 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Godinez has a takedown accuracy of 43% and her takedown defense is 77%.
Godinez is a medium-sized favorite but because she is a much more balanced fighter, backing her to win will be our play.
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Andre Fialho vs Joaquin Buckley – Fight to end by KO/TKO (-225)
Joaquin Buckley is the heavy favorite, but Andre Fialho can’t be counted out due to his power. Fialho has seen 17 of his last 22 fights end by KO/TKO, including his last 4 fights in a row. Buckley has seen 15 of his 21 fights end by KO/TKO as well, which includes 9 of his last 11 fights. Because both guys have a ton of power, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.
Diego Ferreira vs Michael Johnson – Over 1.5 rounds (-170)
Diego Ferreira is a solid favorite in this fight, but having lost his last 3 UFC fights in a row, he is likely not worth backing. What has been consistent for both fighters is that their fights have some length to them. Ferreira has seen 5 of his last 6 fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Michael Johnson has seen 8 of his last 9 fights do the same. For that reason, backing this fight to also go over 1.5 rounds will be our play.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
