Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 222 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a heavyweight fight between Sergei Pavlovich and Curtis Blaydes as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +492 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 222 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
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Brad Tavares vs Bruno Silva – Over 1.5 rounds (-205)
Brad Tavares is a medium-sized favorite in this fight, but a moneyline play may not be worth it as both guys have been inconsistently recently. What has been consistent is their fights going over 1.5 rounds. Tavares has seen 8 of his last 9 fights do this, while Silva has seen 4 of his last 6 fights also go over 1.5 rounds. For that reason, backing the over 1.5 rounds will be our play.
Bobby Green vs Jared Gordon – Fight to go the distance – Yes (-225)
Bobby Green is a heavy favorite in this fight, but he is 2-4 in his last 6 UFC fights, meaning his moneyline looks too risky to back. He has however, seen 11 of his last 14 fights go the distance, while Jared Gordon has seen 5 of his last 6 fights do the same. Because neither fighter has been able to finish many fights recently, backing this fight to go the distance will be our play.
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Iasmin Lucindo vs Brogan Walker – Fight to go the distance – Yes (-225)
Iasmin Lucindo is one of the biggest favorites on the card, which makes her moneyline too risky to back. Walker did lose by KO/TKO in her most recent fight, but this was her only career loss by finish. Nine of her 11 career fights have gone the distance and Lucindo’s last few fights have done the same. For that reason, backing this fight to go the distance will be our play.
Mohammed Usman ML over Junior Tafa (-110)
Mohammed Usman comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-2 and he is 1-0 in the UFC. Usman is averaging 2.14 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 30%. He is absorbing 5.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 36%.
Junior Tafa has won all of his career fights by KO/TKO, but this will be his official UFC debut. Tafa certainly has shown his power, but our play will be Usman to win as he also has plenty of ways to finish this fight.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
