Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC Fight Night 221 takes place on Saturday at the The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a bantamweight fight between Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 221 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 221 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
You can bet on UFC Fight Night 221 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which has thousands of betting options available and a great new customer offer where you can bet $5 on any money line and get $150 in bonus bets if your team wins! Click here to sign up for DraftKings.
UFC Fight Night 221 Main Card best bets
Merab Dvalishvili ML over Petr Yan (+220)
Merab Dvalishvili comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-4. He is 8-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Jose Aldo by unanimous decision in August of 2022. Dvalishvili is averaging 4.21 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. He is absorbing 2.31 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is elite, averaging 6.54 takedowns per 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 78%.
Petr Yan is a heavy favorite in this fight, but his recent form could be a concern. He has lost 3 of his last 4 UFC fights, while Dvalishvili has won his last 8 UFC fights. Dvalishvili has the superior grappling, while also having a slight edge in striking. Because these fighters have recently been going in opposite directions, backing Dvalishvili to pull off the upset will be the play.
BetMGM is the king of online sportsbooks, and right now they have a great new customer promotion where you can get $1,000 paid back in bonus bets if you don’t win! Click this link to join BetMGM.
Vitor Petrino ML over Anton Turkalj (-115)
Vitor Petrino comes into this fight with an MMA record of 7-0. He is 1-0 in the UFC, though this will be his official UFC debut. Petrino is averaging 4.88 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 2.09 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has not yet shown any grappling ability, but does have a takedown defense of 67%.
This looks to be one of the more evenly matched fights on the card with Petrino as a very small favorite. This is his UFC debut, but he does have the superior striking and has defended takedowns at a high rate. For that reason, backing Petrino to win in his debut will be the play.
Need a new sportsbook? Check out SuperBook, which is the top-rated sportsbook in Vegas and has a great new customer offer where you can claim up to $1,000 as a sign-up bonus! Click here to join SuperBook.
Make sure you also read our UFC Fight Night 221 four-fight parlay (+500 odds!)
At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the fights.
