Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC Fight 215 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a heavyweight fight between Derrick Lewis and Serghei Spivac as the Main Event
We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 215 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 215 predictions for picks for each fight on the main card. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
UFC Fight Night 215 Main Card best bet
Muslim Salikhov ML over Andre Fialho (-115)
Muslim Salikhov comes into this fight with an MMA record of 18-3. He is 5-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Li Jingliang by KO/TKO back in July of this year. Salikhov is averaging 3.04 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 2.56 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. As for grappling, Salikhov is averaging 1.17 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 35% and a takedown defense of 77%.
This fight is about even, but Salikhov looks to have the advantage because of his grappling ability. He is not an elite grappler, but has been much more consistent on the ground compared to Andre Fialho. He also absorbs much less damage; therefore backing Salikhov to win will be the play.
UFC Fight Night 215 Preliminary Card best bets
Vince Morales vs Miles Johns – Fight to go the Distance – No (+100)
Miles Johns comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-2. He is 4-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to John Castaneda by submission back in February of this year. Johns is averaging 3.85 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 2.90 strikes and has a striking defense of 69%
Vince Morales comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-6. He is 3-5 in the UFC, most recently losing to Jonathan Martinez by unanimous decision back in May of this year. Morales is averaging 4.42 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 38%. He is absorbing 4.51 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%.
The bigger edge in this fight looks to be a fight that will end inside the distance. Johns has seen his last 4 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Morales has seen 2 of his last 4 UFC fights do the same. Overall, Morales has seen 11 of his 17 career fights end by finish and Johns has seen 8 of his 14 career fights do the same. For that reason, also backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.
Tereza Bleda ML over Natalia Silva (+140)
Tereza Bleda has a 6-0 MMA record. She is 1-0 in the UFC, though this will be her official UFC debut after beating Nayara Maia in a Dana White Contender Series fight back in September of this year. Bleda is averaging 3.33 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. However, because she absorbs far less damage than her opponent, backing her to stay undefeated will be the play.
Make sure you also read our UFC Fight Night 215 four-fight parlay (+344 odds!)
At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC Predictions and UFC Picks include a pick and analysis for all of the main card fights.
