Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC Fight Night 213 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a featherweight fight between Calvin Kattar vs Arnold Allen as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 213 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 213 predictions for picks for each fight on the main and preliminary card. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
UFC Fight Night 213 Main Card best bets
Arnold Allen ML over Calvin Kattar (-115)
Arnold Allen comes into this fight with an MMA record of 18-1. He is 9-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Dan Hooker by KO/TKO back in March of this year. Arnold is averaging 3.31 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 2.22 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. His grappling is solid, as well, averaging 1.41 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and his takedown defense is 76%.
This fight is very evenly matched, but Allen’s track record is hard to ignore. He has been perfect in the UFC, while Calvin Kattar has been a little inconsistent recently, losing 2 of his last 3 fights. For that reason, backing Allen to continue his unbeaten start to the UFC will be the play.
Tim Means vs Max Griffin – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-135)
Tim Means comes into this fight with an MMA record of 32-13-1. He is 14-10 in the UFC, most recently losing to Kevin Holland by submission back in June of this year. Means is averaging 5.01 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Means is absorbing 3.63 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%.
Griffin comes into this fight with an MMA record of 18-9. He is 6-7 in the UFC, most recently losing to Neil Magny by split decision back in March of this year. Griffin is averaging 4.36 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He absorbs 3.94 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%.
Griffin is a heavy favorite in this fight but has been somewhat inconsistent so far in the UFC. Means is a veteran, but has had trouble with being submitted. Fortunately for Means, Griffin prefers a stand-up fight. Means has only ever been knocked out twice and Griffin once, so backing this fight to go the distance will be the play.
Make sure you also read our UFC Fight Night 213 four-fight parlay (+613 odds!)
UFC Fight Night 213 Preliminary Card best bet
Phil Hawes vs Roman Dolidze – Fight to go the Distance – No (-150)
Phil Hawes comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-3. He is 5-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Deron Winn by KO/TKO back in June of this year. Hawes is averaging 5.68 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. He is absorbing 3.43 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%.
Roman Dolidze comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-1. He is 4-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO back in June of this year. Dolidze is averaging 2.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 1.45 strikes and has a striking defense of 64%.
Hawes is a heavy favorite in this fight, but Dolidze should be considered a live ‘dog because of his finishing ability. Dolidze has seen 8 of his 11 fights end inside the distance, while 13 of Hawes’ 15 fights have done the same. Because both guys have a high finishing rate, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.
At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC Predictions and UFC Picks include a pick and analysis for all of the prelims and main card fights.
