Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 212 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a women’s flyweight fight between Alexa Grasso vs Viviane Araujo as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite 3-fight parlay for this card, with odds of +210 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 212 predictions for the full 12-fight slate.
Alexa Grasso vs Viviane Araujo – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-200)
Alexa Grasso is a heavy favorite in this fight, but Viviane Araujo’s grappling ability certainly give her a chance to pull the upset. Of Grasso’s 9 UFC fights, 7 have gone the distance, while 6 of Araujo’s 7 UFC fights have done the same. This also includes 6 straight fights going the distance for Araujo, therefore backing this fight to also go the distance will be the play.
Jordan Wright vs Dusko Todorovic – Fight to end by KO/TKO (-250)
Dusko Todorovic comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-3. He is 3-3 in the UFC, most recently losing to Chidi Njokuani by KO/TKO in May. Todorovic is averaging 5.36 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. He is absorbing 4.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling is only decent, averaging 1.14 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 14% and his takedown defense is 50%.
Todorovic is a heavy favorite in this fight, but Jordan Wright has plenty of finishing ability himself which gives him a real chance to pull the upset. Todorovic has seen 9 of his 14 career fights end by KO/TKO and 4 of his 6 UFC end by this method as well. Wright has seen 9 of his 15 career fights end by KO/TKO and 4 of his 5 UFC fights do the same. Because both fighters have plenty of power, backing this fight to also end by KO/TKO will be the play.
Tatsuro Taira over CJ Vergara (-250)
Tatsuro Taira comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-0. He is 1-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Carlos Candelario by unanimous decision in May. Taira is averaging 3.80 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 65%. He is absorbing 0.60 strikes and has a striking defense of 73%. His grappling has been decent so far, averaging 1.00 takedowns per 15 minutes and 3.00 submission attempts over the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 20% and his takedown defense is 60%.
Taira is a huge favorite here because he is undefeated. He does not have the same striking volume as CJ Vergara, but has much better grappling and has the ability to win by submission. For that reason, backing Taira to win will be the play.
Parlay these three UFC Fight Night 212 predictions for a potential payout at +210 odds!
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