Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 212 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a women’s flyweight fight between Alexa Grasso vs Viviane Araujo as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 212 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 212 predictions for picks for each fight on the main and preliminary card. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
UFC Fight Night 212 Preliminary Card Best Bets
Mana Martinez ML over Brandon Davis (-150)
Mana Martinez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-3. He is 1-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision in February. Martinez is averaging 3.80 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 3.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 41%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.93 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 66% and his takedown defense is 12%.
Martinez is a moderate favorite in this fight, but because Brandon Davis has been inconsistent in the UFC, having lost 6 of his last 7 fights, backing Martinez looks to be the best option.
Make sure you also read our UFC Fight Night 212 four-fight parlay (+316 odds!)
Victor Henry win by finish over Raphael Assuncao (+130)
Victor Henry comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-5. He is 1-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Raoni Barcelos by unanimous decision in January. Henry is averaging 12.07 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 8.93 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. He has not yet shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 85%.
Henry is one of the biggest favorites on this card, so backing his money line looks to be a little too risky. Henry has 14 wins by finish in his career, and Raphael Assuncao has 9 losses by finish. Assuncao has lost 3 of his last 4 fights by finish as well, therefore backing Henry to win by finish looks to be worth a play.
Piera Rodriguez ML over Sam Hughes (-165)
Piera Rodriguez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-0. She is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Kay Hansen by unanimous decision in April. Rodriguez is averaging 3.10 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. She is absorbing 2.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 64%. Her grappling has been solid so far as well, averaging 3.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 35% and she has a takedown defense of 75%.
Rodriguez is a decent favorite in this fight considering she is undefeated in her MMA career. She has the superior grappling as well, and a much better takedown defense, therefore backing Rodriguez to remain unbeaten will be the play.
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