UFC Fight Night 205 predictions parlay (+421 odds): Barber cruises to a win

An overall, general view of the octagon at UFC Fight Night, Sunday, December 8, 2019, in Washington, D.C.
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Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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UFC Fight Night 205 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card will feature a women’s strawweight fight as the Main Event.

Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC Fight Night 205 that has odds of +421. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 205 predictions for the full 12-fight card.

Maycee Barber ML (-180) vs Montana De La Rosa

Maycee Barber comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-2. She is 5-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Miranda Maverick by split decision back in July of 2021. Barber is averaging 4.67 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. She is absorbing 3.03 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. Her grappling is solid as well, averaging 1.36 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 33%, but her takedown defense is 66%.

Both ladies are coming off nice wins, but Barber looks to be slightly better overall. Her striking volume is better, she absorbs less damage, and she also defends takedowns better, so backing her to win will be the play.

Lando Vannata vs Charles Jourdain – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-165)

This fight is basically even, and both guys have been rather inconsistent in their UFC careers so far. Charles Jourdain has the edge in striking volume, but Lando Vannata has the edge in grappling. In 7 UFC fights, Jourdain has seen 4 of them go the distance while 8 of Vannata’s 11 UFC fights have done the same. With not much separating these fighters, expect a tight contest and back this fight to go the distance.

Jordan Wright vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Fight to go the Distance – N0 (-225)

Jordan Wright comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-2. He is 2-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Bruno Silva by KO/TKO back in December of 2021. Wright is averaging 8.09 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 63%. He is absorbing 8.29 strikes and has a striking defense of 38%.

Marc-Andre Barriault comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-5. He is 2-4 in the UFC, most recently losing to Chidi Njokuani by KO/TKO back in February of this year. Barriault is averaging 5.81 significant strikes per every 15 minutes and has a striking accuracy of 46%. He is absorbing 5.06 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%.

Wright has 14 career fights in MMA and all 14 of them have ended with a finish. He has 7 wins by KO/TKO and 5 wins by submission, as well as, 2 losses by KO/TKO. Barriault does not have quite a finish rate as high, winning 9 times by KO/TKO. Still, he has plenty of power that can stop his opponent, so backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.

Marcin Prachnio vs Philipe Lins – Fight to go the Distance – No (-225)

Marcin Prachnio comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-5. He is 2-3 in the UFC, most recently beating Ike Villanueva by KO/TKO back in June of 2021. Prachnio is averaging 6.28 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 4.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%.

Philipe Lins comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-5. He is 0-2 in the UFC though, losing his most recent fight by KO/TKO to Tanner Boser back in June of 2020. Lins is averaging 2.66 significant strikes per minute and is landing them with an accuracy of 40%. He is absorbing 3.68 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%.

In 19 career fights, Lins has seen 16 of them end inside the distance. Out of Prachnio’s 20 career fights, 16 have also ended inside the distance. With both fighters having a high finish rate, but also prone to losing by a finish, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the lean.

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