Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 203 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card will feature a light heavyweight fight as the main event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC Fight Night 203 that pays at odds of +1108. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 203 predictions for the full 14-fight card.
Marlon Moraes vs Song Yadong ML (-250)
Song Yadong comes into fight with an MMA record of 18-5-1. He is 7-1-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Julio Arce by KO/TKO back in November of 2021. Yadong is averaging 4.88 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 3.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. Yadong is likely not going to grapple here, averaging just 0.46 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 42% and his takedown defense is 60%.
Yadong is a big favorite here, but fading Marlon Moraes still looks to be the right play. He has lost 3 fights in a row, while Yadong is coming off back-to-back wins. For that reason, backing Yadong to win will be the play.
Alex Pereira vs Bruno Silva ML (+150)
Bruno Silva comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-6. He is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Jordan Wright by KO/TKO back in December of 2021. Silva is averaging 5.74 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. He is absorbing 2.87 strikes and has a striking defense of 32%. His grappling is also non-existent, but he does have a takedown defense of 68%.
Because of the power both guys have shown so far in the UFC, either one could win this fight. The striking defense for Alex Pereira is a bit of a concern though, and Silva has won 19 times by KO/TKO in his career. Because he still has a few decision wins, backing Silva to stay unbeaten in the UFC will be the play.
Trevin Jones vs Javid Basharat ML (-148)
Javid Basharat comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-0. He is 1-0 in the UFC, although this will be his official UFC debut. His lone UFC win was a Dana White Contender Series event where he beat Oron Kahlon by submission back in October of 2021. Basharat is averaging 4.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 63%. He is absorbing 0.85 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. Through 1 UFC fight, his grappling has been elite, averaging 3.17 takedowns and 1.1 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 60% and he has not been taken down.
This might be Basharat’s UFC debut, but his grappling looks to be too strong in this fight. Jones just lost by submission too, so backing Basharat will be the play.
Damon Jackson vs Kamuela Kirk – Fight to go the Distance – No (+106)
This is a very evenly matched fight, but it is important to note that Kamuela Kirk has won 11 of his 12 fights inside the distance and Damon Jackson has won 17 of his 19 fights by finish as well. Jackson also has lost 4 times by finish, so backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.
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