Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 201 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card will feature a light heavyweight fight as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC Fight Night 201 that pays at odds of +772. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 201 predictions for the full 12-fight card.
Jamahal Hill ML (-240) vs Johnny Walker
Jamahal Hill comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-1. He is 4-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Jimmy Crute by TKO/KO in December 2021. Hill is averaging 7.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 3.68 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. His grappling is also ineffective for the most part, but he does have a takedown defense of 60%.
This fight should be pretty good, seeing that both guys have a ton of power. However, Hill has a much higher volume of striking, so backing him on the money line is the play.
Gabriel Benitez ML (+130) vs David Onama
Gabriel Benitez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-10. He is 6-5 in the UFC, most recently losing to Billy Quarantillo by TKO/KO in July 2021. Benitez is averaging 4.35 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. He is absorbing 3.80 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%. His grappling has not been very good, averaging 0.15 takedowns per every 15 minutes, but 1.2 submission attempts during the same time. His takedown accuracy is 50% and his takedown defense is 56%.
The UFC debut for David Onama was not exactly promising, especially with his inability to avoid being taken down. Benitez has been a little inconsistent, but he does a better job at absorbing damage and has several submission wins, which could help him if the fight moves to the ground. For that reason, backing Benitez is the play.
Jessica Rose-Clark ML (-165) vs Stephanie Egger
Jessica Rose-Clark comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-6. She is 4-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Joselyne Edwards by unanimous decision in October 2021. Clark is averaging 4.10 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. She is absorbing 3.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. Her grappling is solid as well, averaging 1.68 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 50% and her takedown defense is 73%.
The low-volume striking from Stephanie Egger is a concern, and she has struggled to avoid being taken down. Clark is a much more balanced fighter, therefore backing her to win this fight is the play.
Chas Skelly vs Mark Striegl – Fight to go the distance – No (-150)
It is more than 2 years since Chas Skelly fought in the UFC, but the chin of Mark Striegl could be a glaring issue. Skelly has won 13 of his career fights by finish, while 14 of Striegl’s 18 wins have come by finish as well. They both have plenty of submission wins, but just backing this fight to end inside the distance is the play, given how quickly Striegl went down on his UFC debut.
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