Matthew Lowrimore
UFC 313 takes place on Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. It features a UFC Light Heavyweight title fight between Alex Pereira and Magomed Ankalaev as the Main Event.
Here are our UFC 313 best bets, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC 313 Main Card fights scheduled for Saturday.
UFC 313 Main Card Best Bets
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
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Alex Pereira ML over Magomed Ankalaev (-115)
Alex Pereira enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and 9-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 63%. Pereira is absorbing 3.44 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is not nearly as strong, averaging just 0.14 takedowns every 15 minutes. That said, Pereira has a takedown accuracy of 100% and a takedown defense of 70%.
Pereira is the slight favorite but still looks to be the best betting option. He has the edge in striking and has won each of his last 5 UFC fights, 4 of which came by KO/TKO. For that reason, backing Pereira to win and to retain his title will be our best bet.
Ignacio Bahamondes ML over Jalin Turner (-125)
Igancio Bahamondes enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-5 and 6-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 7.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Bahamondes absorbs 4.41 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has not shown any grappling ability but has a takedown defense of 85%.
Bahamondes is the small favorite in this matchup but still looks to be a solid option to win. He has the clear edge in striking volume and has a strong enough takedown defense to nullify the grappling advantage that Turner has. Further, he is 3-1 in his last 4 UFC fights, while Turner is 1-3. For that reason, backing Bahamondes to win will be our best bet.
You can also read our UFC 313 parlay at +451 odds!
Iasmin Lucindo ML over Amanda Lemos (-135)
Iasmin Lucindo enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-5 and 4-1 in the UFC. She is averaging 3.52 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Lucindo is absorbing 2.91 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. Her grappling is also very strong, averaging 2.40 takedowns every 15 minutes. She has a takedown accuracy of 57% and a takedown defense of 66%.
Lucindo is the small favorite in this matchup but looks to be worth a bet to win. She has superior striking and grappling while having won her last 4 UFC fights in a row. Because of this, backing Lucindo to win will be our best bet.
Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 313!
