Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 311 takes place on Saturday at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. This card features a UFC Lightweight title fight between Islam Makhachev and Arman Tsarukyan as the Main Event and a UFC Bantamweight title fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Umar Nurmagomedov as the Co-Main Event.
Here are my favorite UFC parlay picks for this card. Also, be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Jiri Prochazka vs. Jamahal Hill – Fight to go the Distance – No (-250)
Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano – Fight to go the Distance – No (-150)
Jailton Almeida Win by Finish over Serghei Spivac (-200)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
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Jiri Prochazka vs. Jamahal Hill – Fight to go the Distance – No (-250)
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 311 will see Jiri Prochazka take on Jamahal Hill. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Prochazka enters this fight with an MMA record of 30-5-1 and 4-2 in the UFC. As for Hill, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and 7-2 in the UFC.
Hill is the slight favorite in this fight, however, looking at this fight to end inside the distance appears to be the better betting option. Prochazka has seen all 6 of his UFC fights end inside the distance, while Hill has seen 6 of his last 7 UFC fights do the same. Given the high finish rate for both fighters, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our lean.
You can also read our expert’s UFC 311 best bets
Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano – Fight to go the Distance – No (-150)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 311 will see Beneil Dariush take on Renato Moicano. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Dariush enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-6-1 and 16-6-1 in the UFC. On the other side, Moicano enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-5-1 and he is 12-5 in the UFC.
Moicano is the heavy favorite in this fight, therefore we will be looking at this fight to end inside the distance. Moicano has seen 10 of his last 12 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Dariush has seen each of his last 2 UFC fights end inside the distance. Because of this, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our lean.
Jailton Almeida Win by Finish over Serghei Spivac (-200)
Jailton Almeida enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-3 and 8-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 64%. Almeida absorbs 0.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 6.85 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.6 submission attempts during the same period. Almeida has a takedown accuracy of 59% and a takedown defense of 75%.
Because Almeida is one of the biggest favorites on this fight card, we will be looking at how he might win. Almeida has won 7 times by finish in the UFC already, while 3 of Spivac’s losses in the UFC were by finish. Based on the high finish rate from Almeida, backing him to win by finish will be our play.
Don’t miss our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 311
