Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 309 takes place on Saturday at Madison Square Garden in New York, New York. This card features a UFC Heavyweight title fight between Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic as the Main Event.
Here are my favorite UFC parlay picks for this card. Also, be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic – Over 1.5 Rounds (-175)
Bo Nickal vs. Paul Craig – Fight to end by Submission (+180)
Viviane Araujo vs. Karine Silva – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-225)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
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Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic – Over 1.5 Rounds (-175)
The Main Event at UFC 309 will see Jon Jones take on Stipe Miocic in the UFC Heavyweight division and will be for the UFC Heavyweight title. Jones enters this fight with an MMA record of 27-1 and he is 21-1 in the UFC. As for Miocic, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-4 and he is 14-4 in the UFC.
Jones is a serious favorite in this fight, making his money line too risky. Instead, we will be looking for this fight to go over 1.5 rounds. Jones has seen 9 of his last 10 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Miocic has seen 3 of his last 5 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds. Because they have both seen several recent fights go multiple rounds, backing this fight to go over 1.5 rounds will be our lean.
You can also read our expert’s UFC 309 best bets
Bo Nickal vs. Paul Craig – Fight to End by Submission (+180)
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 309 will see Bo Nickal take on Paul Craig in the UFC Middleweight division. Nickal enters this fight with an MMA record of 6-0 and he is 5-0 in the UFC. On the other side, Craig enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-8-1 and he is 9-8-1 in the UFC.
Nickal is the overwhelming favorite in this fight so instead we will be looking at how this fight might end. Nickal has seen 4 of his 6 UFC fights end by submission, including 4 of his 5 UFC fights. Craig has seen 15 of his 26 career fights end by submission, therefore backing the same will be our lean.
Viviane Araujo vs. Karine Silva – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-225)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 309 will see Viviane Araujo take on Karine Silva in the UFC Women’s Flyweight division. Araujo enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-6 and she is 6-5 in the UFC. Silva enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-4 and she is 5-0 in the UFC.
Silva is the heavy favorite in this fight so instead we will be looking for this fight to go the distance. Araujo has seen her last 10 UFC fights in a row go the distance and has only lost once by KO/TKO, which was in 2017. Because she rarely ever loses by KO/TKO, backing this fight to go the distance will be our lean.
Don’t miss our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 309
