Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 307 takes place on Saturday night at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. This card features a UFC Light Heavyweight title fight between Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree Jr as the Main Event and a UFC Women’s Bantamweight title fight between Raquel Pennington and Julianna Pena as the Co-Main Event.
Here are our UFC 307 best bets, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC 307 Main Card fights scheduled for Saturday night.
UFC 307 Main Card Best Bets
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
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Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. – Over 1.5 Rounds (-125)
The Main Event at UFC 307 will see Alex Pereira take on Khalil Rountree Jr. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. This fight will also be for the UFC Light Heavyweight title.
Pereira is the heavy favorite, which is warranted given that he is holding the Light Heavyweight title. Because of this, we will opt to look at this fight to go over 1.5 rounds. Both fighters have seen 4 of their last 6 UFC fights go over the 1.5-round mark, therefore backing the same will be our best bet here.
You can also read our UFC 307 parlay at +488 odds!
Ketlen Vieira vs. Kayla Harrison – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-125)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 307 will see Ketlen Vieira take on Kayla Harrison. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Bantamweight division. Vieira enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-3 and she is 8-3 in the UFC. On the other side, Harrison enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and she is 1-0 in the UFC.
Harrison is one of the biggest favorites on this card, meaning that her moneyline is too risky to bet. Instead, we will be looking at this fight to go the distance. Vieira has seen her last 5 UFC fights go the distance, and her last fight to end inside the distance was in 2019. Harrison has seen most of her MMA fights end inside the distance, but 2 of her last 3 fights have gone the distance. Because of this, backing this fight to go the distance will be our best bet.
Roman Dolidze ML over Kevin Holland (+130)
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 307 will see Roman Dolidze take on Kevin Holland. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division.
Dolidze enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-3, and he is 7-3 in the UFC. He averages 3.13 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 42%. Dolidze absorbs 3.37 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.26 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 33%.
Holland is the favorite in this fight, but his inconsistency in the UFC has us looking at Dolidze to pull the upset. Holland is just 3-4 in his last 7 UFC fights, while Dolidze is 5-2 over the same stretch. Dolidze also has the better grappling. Therefore, backing Dolidze to win will be our best bet.
Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 307!
