Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 307 takes place on Saturday night at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. This card features a UFC Light Heavyweight title fight between Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree Jr. as the Main Event and a UFC Women’s Bantamweight title fight between Raquel Pennington and Julianna Pena as the Co-Main Event.
Here are my favorite UFC parlay picks for this card. Also, be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Raquel Pennington ML (-170)
Mario Bautista ML (-142)
Joaquin Buckley ML (-225)
Iasmin Lucindo ML (-198)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
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Raquel Pennington ML over Julianna Pena (-170)
The Co-Main Event at UFC 307 will see Raquel Pennington take on Julianna Pena. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Bantamweight division and will also be for the UFC Women’s Bantamweight title.
Pennington enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-9, and she is 13-5 in the UFC. She averages 4.14 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Pennington absorbs 3.29 strikes, and has a striking defense of 60%. Her grappling has also been decent, averaging 0.90 takedowns every 15 minutes. That said, her takedown accuracy is only 27%, and her takedown defense is 63%.
Pennington is the clear favorite in this fight, and appears to be worth a bet. Her striking volume is superior to that of Pena and despite Pennington lacking in the grappling department, her takedown defense should mitigate the advantage Pena will have on the mat. For that reason, backing Pennington to win and defend her title will be our play.
You can also read our expert’s UFC 307 best bets
Mario Bautista ML over Jose Aldo (-142)
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 307 will see Jose Aldo take on Mario Bautista. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division.
Bautista enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2, and he is 8-2 in the UFC. He averages 5.69 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Bautista is absorbing 3.99 strikes, and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 2.25 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 44% and a takedown defense of 66%.
Bautista is a moderate favorite in this fight, but looks to be the best play. He has superior striking and grappling, plus he has won 6 fights in a row. For that reason, backing Bautista to win will be our play.
Joaquin Buckley ML over Stephen Thompson (-225)
Joaquin Buckley enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-6, and he is 9-4 in the UFC. He averages 4.25 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 36%. Buckley absorbs 3.12 strikes, and has a striking defense of 58%. He also has solid grappling, averaging 1.69 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 44%, and he has a takedown defense of 69%.
Buckley is the heavy favorite, but still looks to be the best play. He has better striking and grappling compared to Stephen Thompson, and has been more consistent recently – going 4-0 in his last 4 UFC fights. Because of this, backing Buckley to win will be our play.
Iasmin Lucindo ML over Marina Rodriguez (-198)
Iasmin Lucindo enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-5, and she is 3-1 in the UFC. She averages 3.95 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Lucindo absorbs 3.11 strikes, and has a striking defense of 66%. Her grappling is also solid, averaging 2.23 takedowns every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 53%, and her takedown defense is 80%.
Lucindo is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best play. Marina Rodriguez has the edge in striking volume; Lucindo makes up for this with her superior grappling. On top of that, Lucindo has won 3 UFC fights in a row, while Rodriguez is 1-3 in her last 4 UFC fights. Because of this, backing Lucindo to win will be our play.
Don’t miss our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 307
