Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 306 takes place on Saturday night at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a UFC Bantamweight title fight between Sean O’Malley and Merab Dvalishvili as the Main Event and a UFC Women’s Flyweight title fight between Alexa Grasso and Valentina Shevchenko as the Co-Main Event.
Here are my favorite UFC parlay picks for this card, with odds of +860 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Also, be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Daniel Zellhuber vs. Esteban Ribovics – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-160)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 306 will see Daniel Zellhuber take on Esteban Ribovics in the UFC Lightweight division.
Zellhuber is the clear favorite in this fight, therefore backing this fight to go the distance looks to be the better option. Ribovics has seen 2 of his 4 UFC fights go the distance, while Zellhuber has seen 4 of his 5 UFC fights do the same. Because both fighters have not seen many of their fights end by finish recently, backing this fight to go the distance will be our play.
You can also read our expert’s UFC 306 best bets
Ronaldo Rodriguez ML over Ode Osbourne (-148)
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 306 will see Ronaldo Rodriguez take on Ode Osbourne in the UFC Flyweight division.
Rodriguez enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-2 and 1-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.00 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Rodriguez is absorbing 3.56 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.20 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.8 submission attempts during the same period. Rodriguez has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 63%.
Rodriguez is a medium-sized favorite but still looks to be the best option. While Rodriguez has only a few UFC fights, Osbourne is in poor form — just 1-3 in his last 4 UFC fights. Because of this, backing Rodriguez to win will be our play.
Norma Dumont ML over Irene Aldana (-110)
Norma Dumont enters this fight with an MMA record of 11-2 and 7-2 in the UFC. She is averaging 3.11 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Dumont is absorbing 1.89 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. Her grappling is also solid, averaging 1.91 takedowns every 15 minutes. Dumont has a takedown accuracy of 68% and a takedown defense of 72%.
While this fight is evenly matched, Dumont has the superior grappling ability and has not lost in more than 2 years. Therefore, because of her form, backing Dumont to win this fight will be our play.
Manuel Torres ML over Ignacio Bahamondes (-118)
Manuel Torres enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and he is 4-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 8.14 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Torres is absorbing 3.15 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 3.26 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.6 submission attempts during the same period. Torres has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 88%.
Torres is the slight favorite and because he has superior striking and grappling, backing him to win against Ignacio Bahamondes will be our play.
Don’t miss our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 306
