Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 305 takes place on Saturday at the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia. This card features a UFC Middleweight title fight between Dricus Du Plessis and Israel Adesanya as the Main Event.
Here are my favorite UFC parlay picks for this card, with odds of +522 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Also, be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Steve Erceg ML over Kai Kara-France (-162)
The Co-Main Event at UFC 305 will see Kai Kara-France take on Steve Erceg. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division.
Erceg comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and he is 3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.52 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Erceg is absorbing 4.20 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is decent, averaging 1.24 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 26% and his takedown defense is 60%.
Erceg is the clear favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right play. His striking volume is only slightly less than that of Kara-France, while Erceg’s grappling is superior. Erceg is also in better form as Kara-France has lost his last 2 fights in a row. Because of this, backing Erceg to win will be our lean.
You can also read our expert’s UFC 305 best bets
Gamrot Win by Decision over Dan Hooker (-150)
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 305 will see Mateusz Gamrot take on Dan Hooker. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Gamrot comes into this fight with an MMA record of 24-2 and he is 7-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.09 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Gamrot is absorbing 3.07 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also elite, averaging 5.28 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 35% and his takedown defense is 90%.
Gamrot is the overwhelming favorite in this fight, therefore we will be looking for him to win by decision. Gamrot has seen 4 of his last 5 UFC fights go the distance, three of which were wins by decision. Because Gamrot has only won once by finish since 2021, let’s go with Gamrot to win by decision.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik ML over Tai Tuivasa (-238)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 305 will see Tai Tuivasa take on Jairzinho Rozenstruik. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division.
Rozenstruik comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-5 and he is 8-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.44 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Rozenstruik is absorbing 2.78 strikes, and he has a striking defense of 47%. Like Tuivasa, Rozenstruik has shown no grappling ability, but he does have a takedown defense of 75%.
Rozenstruik is the clear favorite in this fight, but still looks to be worth a small play. Neither fighter is in great form with Rozenstruik going 2-2 in his last 4 fights, while Tuivasa is 0-4 in his last 4 fights. Because Rozenstruik has proven to be better at absorbing damage, so he is the play.
Li Jingliang vs. Carlos Prates – Fight to End by KO/TKO (-160)
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 305 will see Li Jingliang take on Carlos Prates. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division.
Prates is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be looking for this fight to end by KO/TKO. Prates has seen each of his 3 UFC fights end by KO/TKO, while Jingliang has seen 2 of his last 4 UFC fights do the same. As such, the best bet is for this fight to end by KO/TKO.
Don’t miss our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 305
