Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 304 takes place on Saturday at the Co-Op Live Arena in Manchester, England. This card features a UFC Welterweight title fight between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad as the Main Event and a UFC Interim Heavyweight title fight between Tom Aspinall and Curtis Blaydes in the Co-Main Event.
Here are our UFC 304 best bets, which will include 2 fights on the Main Card and 1 on the Preliminary Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC 304 Main Card fights scheduled for Saturday night.
UFC 304 Main Card Best Bets
Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes – Fight to Start Round 2 (-115)
The Co-Main Event at UFC 304 will see Tom Aspinall take on Curtis Blaydes. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division and will be for the UFC Interim Heavyweight title.
Aspinall is the overwhelming favorite in this fight, therefore we will be looking for this fight to simply start the second round. While Aspinall has only seen 1 of his UFC fights make it to the second round, Blaydes has seen 8 of his last 10 UFC enter at least round two. Both fighters certainly have the power to end this fight quickly, but seeing that neither fighter has lost much by finish, backing this fight to enter round two will be our best bet.
You can also read our UFC 304 parlay at +508 odds!
Paddy Pimblett ML over Bobby Green (+102)
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 304 will see Paddy Pimblett take on Bobby Green. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division.
Pimblett comes into this fight with an MMA record of 21-3 and he is 5-0 in the UFC. Pimblett is averaging 5.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. He is absorbing 3.70 strikes and has a striking defense of 41%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 0.98 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.6 submission attempts. Pimblett has a takedown accuracy of 25% and a takedown defense of 56%.
Green is the small favorite in this fight, but we will be looking for Pimblett to win. He has been perfect in the UFC and has dominated in all 5 of his UFC fights, therefore backing Pimblett to win will be our best bet.
UFC 304 Preliminary Card Best Bet
Oban Elliot ML over Preston Parsons (+114)
Oban Elliot comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-2 and he is 2-0 in the UFC. Elliot is averaging 4.27 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. He is absorbing 2.17 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has also been elite so far in the UFC, averaging 3.50 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Further, Elliot has a takedown accuracy of 50%.
Elliot is the small underdog in this fight, but looks to be the better play compared to Preston Parsons. Elliot has shown better form in the UFC and has much better striking than Parsons. For that reason, backing Elliot to win will be our play.
Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main-card fight at UFC 304!
