Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 304 takes place on Saturday at the Co-Op Live Arena in Manchester, England. This card features a UFC Welterweight title fight between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad as the Main Event and a UFC Interim Heavyweight title fight between Tom Aspinall and Curtis Blaydes in the Co-Main Event.
Here are my favorite UFC parlay picks for this card, with odds of +508 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Also, be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-200)
The Main Event at UFC 304 will see Leon Edwards take on Belal Muhammad. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division and will be for the UFC Welterweight title.
Edwards is the clear favorite in this fight as he is the one who currently holds the UFC Welterweight title. Instead of backing Edwards to win outright, we will be looking for this fight to go the distance. Edwards and Muhammad have both seen 8 of their last 10 UFC fights go the distance, therefore backing the same here will be our lean.
You can also read our expert’s UFC 304 best bets
Christian Leroy Duncan ML over Gregory Rodrigues (-142)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 304 will see Christian Leroy Duncan take on Gregory Rodrigues. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division.
Duncan comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-1 and he is 3-1 in the UFC. Duncan is averaging 5.96 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 62%. He is absorbing 3.82 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has not been as good, averaging just 0.45 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Duncan has a takedown accuracy of 14% and a takedown defense of 50%.
Duncan is the moderate-sized favorite in this fight and he looks to be the right side to back here. While Duncan’s striking and grappling is not as strong as Rodrigues’, his defense and accuracy is much better. He also has a high finish rate, having won all of his UFC fights by KO/TKO. Because of this, backing Duncan to win will be our play.
Arnold Allen ML over Giga Chikadze (-238)
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 304 will see Arnold Allen take on Giga Chikadze. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division.
Allen comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-3 and he is 10-2 in the UFC. Arnold is averaging 3.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. He is absorbing 2.91 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling is solid as well, averaging 1.02 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and his takedown defense is 75%.
Allen is the heavy favorite in this fight and despite the fact that he has lost back-to-back fights, looking at Allen to win will looks to be the right play. Allen has held his own when it comes to striking and he has the edge in grappling compared to Chikadze. For that reason, backing Allen to win will be our play.
Muhammad Mokaev ML over Manel Kape (-148)
Muhammad Mokaev comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-0 and he is 6-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 1.53 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. He is absorbing 1.36 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. In the UFC, his grappling has been elite, averaging 5.75 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 41%, and he has not defended a takedown successfully in the UFC.
Mokaev is the medium-sized favorite in this fight, but looks to be the right play. His grappling is especially superior compared to Manel Kape, therefore backing Mokaev will be our play.
Don’t miss our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 304
