Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 292 takes place on Saturday at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. This card features a bantamweight title fight between Aljamain Sterling and Sean O’Malley as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +432 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 292 predictions for all of the Main Card and Preliminary Card fights.
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Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos: Over 1.5 Rounds (-190)
Zhang Weili is the significant favorite in this fight, so back her money line is likely not worth the risk. Instead, we will be looking at the total rounds market. Both ladies have had their fair share of quick finish wins, but they both rarely lose by finish. For that reason, backing the over 1.5 rounds will be our play.
Ian Garry vs Neil Magny: Fight to go the Distance – No (-165)
Ian Garry is one of the biggest favorites on this card, so backing his money line is too steep. Neil Magny has seen 3 of his last 4 fights end inside the distance, while Garry has seen each of his last 2 fights do the same. For that reason, also backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.
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Mario Bautista ML over Da’Mon Blackshear (-218)
Mario Bautista comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-2. He is 6-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Guido Cannetti by submission back in March of this year. Bautista is averaging 5.33 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 3.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling has been good, averaging 2.91 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 68% and his takedown defense is 62%.
Bautista is a heavy favorite, but still looks to be the right side. He has superior striking and grappling, therefore backing Bautista to win will be our play.
Marlon Vera ML over Pedro Munhoz (-205)
Marlon Vera comes into this fight with an MMA record of 20-8-1. He is 14-7 in the UFC, most recently losing to Cory Sanhagen by split decision back in March of this year. Vera is averaging 4.09 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 5.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is not as strong, averaging 0.61 takedowns per every 15 minutes, but 1.0 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 40% and his takedown defense is 69%.
Vera may be the big favorite in this fight, but his recent form would suggest he is still worth betting. Vera has won 4 of his last 5 fights, while Pedro Munhoz has only won 1 of his last 5 fights. For that reason, backing Vera to win will be our play.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card and Preliminary Card fights.
