Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 292 takes place on Saturday at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. This card features a bantamweight title fight between Aljamain Sterling and Sean O’Malley as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC 292 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC 292 predictions for picks on every Main Card and Preliminary Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC 292 Main Card Best Bet
Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O’Malley – Over 2.5 Rounds (-140)
Aljamain Sterling is a heavy favorite in this fight, but Sean O’Malley has been good enough to suggest that he could be a live dog. The more likely result is that this fight will go at least a few rounds. More specifically, over 2.5 rounds. O’Malley has seen 3 of his last 4 fights go over 2.5 rounds, while Sterling has seen 3 of his last 4 fights do the same. For that reason, backing the over 2.5 rounds will be our best bet.
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UFC 292 Preliminary Card Best Bets
Andre Petroski Win by Finish over Gerald Meerschaert (-110)
Andre Petroski comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-2. He is 4-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Wellington Turman by unanimous decision back in November of 2022. Petroski is averaging 3.64 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. He is absorbing 2.28 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is also very good, averaging 5.43 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 3.4 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 57% and his takedown defense is 75%.
Petroski is the significant favorite in this fight, so we will be looking him to win this fight by finish. Petroski has won 8 of his 9 fights by finish, while Gerald Meerschaert has lost 12 of his 16 fights by finish. For that reason, backing Petroski to win by finish will be our best bet.
Natalia Silva Win by Finish over Andrea Lee (+200)
Natalia Silva comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-5-1. She is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Victoria Leonardo by KO/TKO back in May of this year. Silva is averaging 5.47 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. She is absorbing 1.90 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. Her grappling is decent, averaging 1.02 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Silva has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 92%.
Silva is one of the biggest favorites on this card, so her money line looks to be too risky. She has won 12 of her 15 career fights by finish, including her last 2 fights in a row. For that reason, backing Silva to also win this fight by finish will be our best bet.
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