Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 291 takes place on Saturday at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, with a lightweight fight between Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +341 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 291 predictions for all of the Main Card and Preliminary Card fights.
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Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje – Fight to go the Distance – No (-250)
Dustin Poirier is a moderate favorite in this fight, but Justin Gaethje’s finishing ability should not be underestimated. Poirier has seen 27 of his 36 career fights end inside the distance, including his last 4 UFC fights. Gaethje has seen 24 of his 28 fights end inside the distance, therefore backing this fight to also end early will be our play.
Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland – Fight to go the Distance – No (-250)
Kevin Holland is only a small favorite, but given Michael Chiesa’s submission ability, he certainly has a chance to win. Chiesa has seen 15 of his 22 fights end inside the distance, while Holland has seen 24 of his 33 career fights do the same. This includes his last 5 UFC fights, so backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.
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Gabriel Bonfim Win by Finish over Trevin Giles (-200)
Gabriel Bonfim comes into this fight with an MM record of 14-0. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Mounir Lazzez by submission in January. Bonfim is averaging 6.95 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 38%. He is absorbing 5.76 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 2.986 takedowns and 6.0 submission attempts per 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 100% and his takedown defense is 100%.
Bonfim is a heavy favorite, which is warranted because he is undefeated. He has won all of his fights by finish, while all of Trevin Giles’ losses have been by finish. For that reason, backing Bonfim to win by finish will be our play.
Roman Kopylov vs Claudio Ribeiro – Fight to end by KO/TKO (-200)
For this fight, we will be looking at the finishing method to be KO/TKO. Roman Kopylov has seen 9 of his 12 career fights end by this method, while Claudio Ribeiro has seen 12 of his 14 fights do the same. For that reason, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card and Preliminary Card fights.
