Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 291 takes place on Saturday at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. This card features a lightweight fight between Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC 291 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC 291 predictions for picks on every Main Card and Preliminary Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC 291 Main Card best bets
Jan Blachowicz ML over Alex Pereira (-110)
Jan Blachowicz comes into this fight with an MMA record of 29-9-1. He is 12-6-1 in the UFC, most recently drawing with Magomed Ankalaev in December 2022. Blachowicz is averaging 3.41 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 2.81 strikes and has as striking defense of 54%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.97 takedowns per 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 53% and a takedown defense of 68%.
This is one of the most even fights on the card, but Blachowicz looks to be the right side. While he does not have the edge in striking, he absorbs fewer strikes and has decent grappling. For that reason, backing Blachowicz will be our play.
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Tony Ferguson vs Bobby Green: Fight to go the Distance – No (-110)
Bobby Green is a heavy favorite in this fight, and a big reason for that is Tony Ferguson has been wildly inconsistent in his performances and is 0-5 in his last 5 UFC fights. The most likely result is that this fight will end inside the distance. Green has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights end inside the distance, while the same is true for each of Ferguson’s last 2 UFC fights. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card and Preliminary Card fights.
