UFC 290: Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez picks, predictions and best bets: Judges decide the featherweight title

Alexander Volkanovski reacts to his win over Chan Sung Jung, aka The Korean Zombie, in the fourth round Saturday, April 9, 2022 during UFC 273 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville.
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Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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UFC 290 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a featherweight title fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Yair Rodriguez as the Main Event and a flyweight title fight between Brandon Moreno and Alexandre Pantoja in the Co-Main Event.

We are sharing our UFC 290 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC 290 predictions for picks on every Main Card and Preliminary Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.

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UFC 290 Main Card best bets

Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (+110)

Alexander Volkanovski is the heavy favorite in this title fight, making his money line too risky to back. What looks more likely for this fight is it to be decided by decision. Volkanovski has seen 6 of his last 7 UFC fights go the distance, while Yair Rodriguez has only lost twice by finish in his career and not since 2017. They both have steel chins, so while it should be fast-paced, they both should be able to hold up enough to see this fight go the full five rounds.

Brandon Moreno vs Alexandre Pantoja – Fight to go the Distance – No (-115)

Brandon Moreno is the favorite in this fight, but what looks more likely is that this fight will end inside the distance. Both fighters have seen 3 of their last 5 UFC end inside the distance, which includes each of their last 2 fights in a row. For that reason, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our top play for this flyweight title fight.

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UFC 290 Preliminary Card best bet

Robbie Lawler vs Niko Price – Over 1.5 Rounds (-135)

Niko Price is the favorite in this fight, but both guys have been too inconsistent to back. Instead, we will be looking at the Over 1.5 total rounds. Price has seen each of his last 5 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Robbie Lawler has seen 3 of his last 4 fights do the same. For that reason, backing this fight to go Over 1.5 total rounds will be our play.

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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card and Preliminary Card fights.

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