Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 289 takes place on Saturday at the Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada. This card features a women’s bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes and Irene Aldana as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +467 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 289 predictions for all of the Main Card and Preliminary Card fights.
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Charles Oliveira vs Beneil Dariush – Fight to go the Distance – No (-250)
Beneil Dariush is the favorite in this fight, but it is hard to count Charles Oliveira out. Oliveira has seen 38 of his 42 career fights end inside the distance, including his last 4 fights in a row. Dariush has seen 17 of his 27 career fights end inside the distance, therefore backing this fight to do the same will be our play.
Nassourdine Imavov ML over Chris Curtis (-155)
Nassourdine Imavov comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-4. He is 4-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Sean Strickland by unanimous decision back in January of this year. Imavov is averaging 4.32 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 3.81 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling has been lacking, averaging just 0.68 takedowns per every 15 minutes, but 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 22%, but his takedown defense is 72%.
Imavov is a moderate-sized favorite in this fight because he has the edge in grappling and does not absorb as much damage, so backing him to win will be our play.
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Miranda Maverick Win by Decision over Jasmine Jasudavicius (-135)
Miranda Maverick comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-4. She is 4-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Shanna Young by unanimous decision back in November of 2022. Maverick is averaging 3.74 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. She is absorbing 2.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. Her grappling is solid as well, averaging 2.70 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 61% and her takedown defense is 44%.
Maverick is a heavy favorite, which makes her money line too risky to back. Instead, we will be looking to back Maverick to win by decision as Jasmine Jasudavicius has never lost by finish and Maverick is coming off a decision win in her most recent fight.
Blake Bilder ML over Kyle Nelson (-240)
Blake Bilder comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-0-1. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Shane Young by unanimous decision back in February of this year. Bilder is averaging 6.58 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. He is absorbing 5.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.82 takedowns per every minute and 1.6 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 14% and his takedown defense is 100%. Even though Bilder is a huge favorite, he will be our play as he excels in just about every category, while Kyle Nelson has not won in the UFC since 2019.
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