Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 289 takes place on Saturday at the Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada. This card features a women’s bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes and Irene Aldana as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC 289 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC 289 predictions for picks on every Main Card and Preliminary Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC 289 Main Card best bets
Amanda Nunes Win by Finish over Irene Aldana (-135)
Amanda Nunes comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-5 and is 16-3 in the UFC. Nunes is averaging 4.40 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. She is absorbing 2.75 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. Her grappling is also solid, averaging 2.61 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Nunes has a takedown accuracy of 56% and a takedown defense of 82%.
Nunes is a significant favorite in this fight, which is warranted given her dominance in the UFC. That being said, backing her money line looks too risky. Nunes has won 17 of her 22 fights by finish, while 4 of Irene Aldana’s 5 losses have been by finish. For that reason, backing Nunes to win by finish will be our best bet.
Mike Malott vs Adam Fugitt – Fight to end by KO/TKO (+110)
Mike Malott is a heavy favorite in this fight, but Adam Fugitt has also been very impressive in his career so far. Malott has seen 5 of his 11 career fights end by KO/TKO, while Fugitt has seen each of his last 4 fights end by this method as well. For that reason, backing this fight to also end by KO/TKO will be our play.
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Nate Landwehr ML over Dan Ige (+220)
Nate Landwehr comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-4 and is 4-2 in the UFC. Landwehr is averaging 6.47 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 5.51 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. He is a solid grappler as well, averaging 1.36 takedowns per every 15 minutes, and 1.4 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 62% and his takedown defense is 86%.
Dan Ige is a heavy favorite in the fight, however the fact that he is 2-4 in his last 6 fights is concerning. Landwehr has been much more consistent recently, winning each of his last 3 fights. He has better striking and better grappling, therefore backing Landwehr to pull off the upset will be our play.
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