Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC 282 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a light heavyweight title fight between Jan Blachowicz vs Magomed Ankalaev as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite parlay for this card, with odds of +171 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 282 predictions for the full card.
Magomed Ankalaev over Jan Blachowicz (-355)
Magomed Ankalaev comes into this fight with an MMA record of 18-1. He is 9-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Anthony Smith by KO/TKO back in July of this year. Ankalaev is averaging 3.64 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. He is averaging 2.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 0.94 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 33% and his takedown defense is 86%.
Ankalaev is a heavy favorite in this fight, but that looks to be warranted given the fact that he has won 9 UFC fights in a row. In fact, the last time Ankalaev lost was in 2018. He also has the slightly better striking and has defended takedowns more often than Jan Blachowicz. For that reason backing Ankalaev will be the play.
Dricus Du Plessis over Darren Till (-188)
Dricus Du Plessis comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-2. He is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Brad Tavares by unanimous decision back in July of this year. Du Plessis is averaging 6.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 4.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.20 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 18%, and he has a takedown defense of 100%.
Du Plessis is a modest favorite in this fight, but his recent results would suggest he is the right side. He has the superior striking, and Darren Till has not fought in a UFC event in well more than a year. For that reason backing Du Plessis will be the play.
Cameron Saaiman vs Steven Koslow – Fight to go the Distance – No (-260)
Cameron Saaiman is 1 of the biggest favorites on the entire card, but given that this is his UFC debut he is hard to back. The same goes for the outright upset with Steven Koslov. Combined these fighters have seen 11 of their 12 fights end inside the distance, therefore backing this fight to do the same is worth a small play.
Note: This parlay originally included a fourth pick, for the Daniel Da Silva vs Vinicius Salvador bout, but that was cancelled when Da Silva failed to make the weight.
Don’t miss our UFC 282 best bets!
At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC Predictions and UFC Picks include a pick and analysis for all of the main card fights.
