Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC 270 takes place on Saturday at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. The card will feature a heavyweight title fight as the Main Event and a flyweight title fight as the Co-Main Event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC 270 that pays at odds of +602. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 270 predictions for the full 13-fight card.
Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo – Fight to go the distance – No (-150)
Both of these guys will likely look to work fast and finish this fight. In Deiveson Figueiredo’s 12 UFC fights, 8 have ended inside the distance, while Brandon Moreno has 14 finishes in his career. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance is the play.
Michel Pereira vs Andre Fialho – Fight to go the distance – No (-190)
Michel Pereira is known for finishing his opponents, winning 17 of his 26 career fights by a finish. He has a total of 10 TKO/KO wins and 7 submission wins, so he is well balanced when it comes to winning fights. Andre Fialho has so far been known for knocking people out, having won 11 times by that method. Because of the finish rates for both guys, backing this fight to end inside the distance looks the best play.
Rodolfo Vieira ML (-210) vs Wellington Turman
Rodolfo Vieira comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-1. He is 3-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Dustin Stoltzfus by submission in July 2021. He is averaging 2.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 4.04 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 5.77 takedowns and 1.4 submission attempts per 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 52% and his takedown defense is 100%.
Vieira looks to be the right side here despite the high price on him. He has elite grappling and as a result, has won 7 fights by submission and all 3 of his UFC fights that way. Wellington Turman has never lost by submission, though, so just backing Vieira on the money line looks to be the right play.
Michael Morales ML (-115) vs Trevin Giles
Michael Morales comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-0. He is 1-0 in the UFC, and will make his official UFC debut here. His lone UFC win came in a Dana White Contender Series event. He won this fight against Nikolay Veretennikov by unanimous decision. Morales is averaging 3.53 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. He is absorbing 3.47 strikes and has a striking defense of 34%. His grappling has looked elite, averaging 4.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and his takedown defense is 100%.
Morales is making his UFC debut, but looks to be the right side here. At least from what he has shown so far, his grappling could be a big factor, so backing Morales to pick up his first official UFC win will be the play.
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